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Alternative modeling strategies for specifying subset VAR models are considered. It is shown that under certain conditions a testing procedure based on t-ratios is equivalent to sequentially eliminating lags that lead to the largest improvement in a prespecified model selection criterion. A...
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The behavior of the dollar/euro exchange rate is modeled using a monetary model of the exchange rate. The econometric … analysis is complicated by the short sample span of actual euro data available for analysis. Hence, data on a "synthetic" euro …, is identified for the 1991M08-1999M12 period using the Johansen procedure. The model implies that the euro was …
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