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According to the Sharpe-Lintner capital asset pricing model, expected rates of return on individual stocks differ only because of their different levels of non-diversifiable risk (beta). However, Fama/French (1992) show that the two variables size and book-to-market ratio capture the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009661022
Alternative modeling strategies for specifying subset VAR models are considered. It is shown that under certain conditions a testing procedure based on t-ratios is equivalent to sequentially eliminating lags that lead to the largest improvement in a prespecified model selection criterion. A...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009583885
The efficient market hypothesis implies that asset prices cannot be cointegrated. On the other hand, arbitrage processes prevent prices of fundamentally related assets from drifting far away. An attractive model that reconciles these two conflicting facts is the nonlinear error correction...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009581105
This paper tests the validity of Present Value (PV) models of stock prices by employing a two-step strategy for testing the null hypothesis of no cointegration against alternatives which are fractionally cointegrated. Monte Carlo simulations are conducted to evaluate the power and size...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009582383
One puzzling behavior of asset returns for various frequencies is the often observed positive autocorrelation at lag 1. To some extent this can be explained by standard asset pricing models when assuming time varying risk premia. However, one often finds better results when directly fitting an...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009579187
In this paper we introduce a bootstrap procedure to test parameter restrictions in vector autoregressive models which is robust in cases of conditionally heteroskedastic error terms. The adopted wild bootstrap method does not require any parametric specification of the volatility process and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009663846
-transaction duration process and vice versa. In order to solve the estimation problems implied by this interdependent formulation, we first … propose a GMM estimation procedure for the Autoregressive Conditional Duration model. The method is then extended to the … simultaneous estimation of the interdependent duration-volatility model. In an empirical application we utilize the model for an …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009579173
Political stock markets (PSM) are sometimes seen as substitutes for opinion polls. On the bases of a behavioral model, specific preconditions were drawn out under which manipulation in PSM can weaken this argument. Evidence for manipulation is reported from the data of two separate PSM during...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009614875
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