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This paper studies the smooth transition regression model where regressors are I(1) and errors are I(0). The regressors and errors are assumed to be dependent both serially and contemporaneously. Using the triangular array asymptotics, the nonlinear least squares estimator is shown to be...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009612025
; Parameter estimation uncertainty ; Probability integral transform ; Quadratic form ; Short-term interest rate ; Transition …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009621413
the price of a commodity, currency or similar quantity. Interval estimation and hypothesis testing for H are central to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009581110
recent parametric tests this is caused by estimation errors which result when the autoregressive parameters used to describe …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009582386
Alternative modeling strategies for specifying subset VAR models are considered. It is shown that under certain conditions a testing procedure based on t-ratios is equivalent to sequentially eliminating lags that lead to the largest improvement in a prespecified model selection criterion. A...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009583885
We make use in this article of a testing procedure suggested by Robinson (1994) for testing deterministic seasonality versus seasonal fractional integration. A new test statistic is developed to simultaneously test both, the order of integration of the seasonal component and the need of seasonal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009612017
The efficient market hypothesis implies that asset prices cannot be cointegrated. On the other hand, arbitrage processes prevent prices of fundamentally related assets from drifting far away. An attractive model that reconciles these two conflicting facts is the nonlinear error correction...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009581105
This paper tests the validity of Present Value (PV) models of stock prices by employing a two-step strategy for testing the null hypothesis of no cointegration against alternatives which are fractionally cointegrated. Monte Carlo simulations are conducted to evaluate the power and size...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009582383
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