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Balance Sheet Effects on Monetary and Financial Spillovers : The East Asian Crisis Plus 20

Aizenman, Joshua - 2016

We study how the financial conditions in the Center Economies [the U.S., Japan, and the Euro area] impact other … euro) makes the response of a financial variable such as the REER and exchange market pressure in the PHs more sensitive to … a change in key variables in the U.S. (or the euro area) such as policy interest rates and the REER. While having more …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455943

For a Few Dollars More : Reserves and Growth in Times of Crises

Bussière, Matthieu - 2014

Based on a dataset of 112 emerging economies and developing countries, this paper addresses two key questions regarding the accumulation of international reserves: first, has the accumulation of reserves effectively protected countries during the 2008-09 financial crisis? And second, what...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458872

Five Facts about the UIP Premium

Kalemli-Ozcan, Sebnem; Varela, Liliana - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2021

We document five novel facts about Uncovered Interest Parity (UIP) deviations vis-à-vis the U.S. dollar for 34 currencies of advanced economies and emerging markets, using survey data on expected exchange rate. First, the UIP premium co-moves with global risk perception (VIX) for all...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012585407

Latin America and East Asia in the Context of an Insurance Model of Currency Crises

Chinn, Menzie D. - 1999

This paper focuses on the 1995 Latin American and 1997 East Asian crises using an insurance-based model of financial crises. First the model of Dooley (forthcoming) is described. Second, some empirical evidence for an insurance model is presented. The key variables in this approach include the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471706

Debt Overhang, Rollover Risk, and Corporate Investment : Evidence from the European Crisis

Kalemli-Ozcan, Sebnem - 2018

We quantify the role of financial factors that have contributed to sluggish investment in Europe in the aftermath of the 2008-2009 crisis. Using a big data approach, we match the firms to their banks based on banking relationships in 8 European countries over time, obtaining over 2 million...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012453161

Productivity and the Euro-Dollar Exchange Rate Puzzle

Alquist, Ron - 2002

This paper documents the evidence for a productivity based model of the dollar/euro real exchange rate over the 1985 … the Johansen (1988) and Stock-Watson (1993) procedures. We find that each percentage point in the US-Euro area … estimation methodology, the variables included in the regression, and the sample period. We conjecture that productivity …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469891

Global Spillovers from FED Hikes and a Strong Dollar : The Risk Channel

Cristi, José; Kalemli-Ozcan, Sebnem; Sans, Mariana; … - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2024

We study the international transmission of U.S. monetary policy (FED hikes) and a strong U.S. dollar. Both of these variables are endogenous and thus we follow the recent developments in the literature to measure the exogenous components of each from the perspective of the rest of the world...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014528370

Surfing the Waves of Globalization : Asia and Financial Globalization in the Context of the Trilemma

Aizenman, Joshua - 2010

Using the "trilemma indexes" developed by Aizenman et al. (2008) that measure the extent of achievement in each of the three policy goals in the trilemma--monetary independence, exchange rate stability, and financial openness--we examine how policy configurations affect macroeconomic...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462774

Exchange Rate Fluctuations and Firm Leverage

Kalemli-Ozcan, Sebnem; Shim, Ilhyock; Liu, Xiaoxi - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2021

We quantify the effect of exchange rate fluctuations on firm leverage. When home currency appreciates, firms who hold foreign currency debt and local currency assets observe higher net worth as appreciation lowers the value of their foreign currency debt. These firms can borrow more as a result...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012496162

Global Transmission of FED Hikes : The Role of Policy Credibility and Balance Sheets

Kalemli-Ozcan, Sebnem; Unsal, Filiz D. - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2024

Contrary to historical episodes, the 2022-2023 tightening of US monetary policy has not yet triggered financial crisis in emerging markets. Why is this time different? To answer this question, we analyze the current situation through the lens of historical evidence. In emerging markets, the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014528369