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Balance Sheet Effects on Monetary and Financial Spillovers : The East Asian Crisis Plus 20

Aizenman, Joshua - 2016

We study how the financial conditions in the Center Economies [the U.S., Japan, and the Euro area] impact other … euro) makes the response of a financial variable such as the REER and exchange market pressure in the PHs more sensitive to … a change in key variables in the U.S. (or the euro area) such as policy interest rates and the REER. While having more …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455943

For a Few Dollars More : Reserves and Growth in Times of Crises

Bussière, Matthieu - 2014

Based on a dataset of 112 emerging economies and developing countries, this paper addresses two key questions regarding the accumulation of international reserves: first, has the accumulation of reserves effectively protected countries during the 2008-09 financial crisis? And second, what...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458872

Latin America and East Asia in the Context of an Insurance Model of Currency Crises

Chinn, Menzie D. - 1999

This paper focuses on the 1995 Latin American and 1997 East Asian crises using an insurance-based model of financial crises. First the model of Dooley (forthcoming) is described. Second, some empirical evidence for an insurance model is presented. The key variables in this approach include the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471706

From Financial Crash to Debt Crisis

Reinhart, Carmen M. - 2010

Newly developed long historical time series on public debt, along with modern data on external debts, allow a deeper analysis of the cycles underlying serial debt and banking crises. The evidence confirms a strong link between banking crises and sovereign default across the economic history of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462855

The Euro May Over the Next 15 Years Surpass the Dollar as Leading International Currency

Chinn, Menzie D. - 2008

The euro has arisen as a credible eventual competitor to the dollar as leading international currency, much as the … euro over the period 1999-2007. This paper updates calculations regarding possible scenarios for the future. We exclude the … the de facto financial center of the euro, more so than Frankfurt. We also assume that the dollar continues in the future …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464738

Productivity and the Euro-Dollar Exchange Rate Puzzle

Alquist, Ron - 2002

This paper documents the evidence for a productivity based model of the dollar/euro real exchange rate over the 1985 … the Johansen (1988) and Stock-Watson (1993) procedures. We find that each percentage point in the US-Euro area … estimation methodology, the variables included in the regression, and the sample period. We conjecture that productivity …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469891

Crowding Out Redefined : The Role of Reserve Accumulation

Reinhart, Carmen M. - 2013

It is well understood that investment serves as a shock absorber at the time of crisis. The duration of the drag on investment, however, is perplexing. For the nine Asian economies we focus on in this study, average investment/GDP is about 6 percentage points lower during 1998-2012 than its...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459011

Rethinking Exchange Rate Regimes

Ilzetzki, Ethan; Reinhart, Carmen M.; Rogoff, Kenneth S. - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2021

This paper employs an updated algorithm and database for classifying exchange rate and anchor currency choice, to explore the evolution of the global exchange rate system, including parallel rates, capital controls and reserves. In line with a large recent literature, we find that the dollar has...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012660025

Surfing the Waves of Globalization : Asia and Financial Globalization in the Context of the Trilemma

Aizenman, Joshua - 2010

Using the "trilemma indexes" developed by Aizenman et al. (2008) that measure the extent of achievement in each of the three policy goals in the trilemma--monetary independence, exchange rate stability, and financial openness--we examine how policy configurations affect macroeconomic...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462774

What Hurts Most? G-3 Exchange Rate or Interest Rate Volatility

Reinhart, Carmen M. - 2001

With many emerging market currencies tied to the U.S. dollar either implicitly or explicitly, movements in the exchange values of the currencies of major countries have the potential to influence the competitive position of many developing countries. According to some analysts, establishing...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470183