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Boom-Bust Cycles in Middle Income Countries : Facts and Explanation

Tornell, Aaron - 2002

In this paper we characterize empirically the comovements of macro variables typically observed in middle income countries, as well as the boom-bust cycle' that has been observed during the last two decades. We find that many countries that have liberalized their financial markets, have...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469490

For a Few Dollars More : Reserves and Growth in Times of Crises

Bussière, Matthieu - 2014

Based on a dataset of 112 emerging economies and developing countries, this paper addresses two key questions regarding the accumulation of international reserves: first, has the accumulation of reserves effectively protected countries during the 2008-09 financial crisis? And second, what...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458872

Common Fundamentals in the Tequila and Asian Crises

Tornell, Aaron - 1999

The cross-country variation in the severity of the crisis was largely determined by three fundamentals: the strength of the banking system, the real appreciation, and the international liquidity of the country. We also find that the rule that links fundamentals to the crisis severity has been...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471655

Latin America and East Asia in the Context of an Insurance Model of Currency Crises

Chinn, Menzie D. - 1999

This paper focuses on the 1995 Latin American and 1997 East Asian crises using an insurance-based model of financial crises. First the model of Dooley (forthcoming) is described. Second, some empirical evidence for an insurance model is presented. The key variables in this approach include the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471706

Balance SHeet Effects, Bailout Guarantees and Financial Crises

Schneider, Martin - 2000

Several recent twin' currency and banking crises were preceded by lending booms during which the banking system financed rapid growth of the nontradable (N) sector by borrowing in foreign currency. They were followed by recessions during which a sharp decline in credit especially hurt the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470672

Financial Crises in Emerging Markets : The Lessons from 1995

Sachs, Jeffrey - 1996

In this paper we examine closely the financial events following the Mexican peso devaluation to uncover new lessons about the nature of financial crises. We explore the question of why, during 1995, some emerging markets were hit by financial crises while others were not. To this end, we ask...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473272

Productivity and the Euro-Dollar Exchange Rate Puzzle

Alquist, Ron - 2002

This paper documents the evidence for a productivity based model of the dollar/euro real exchange rate over the 1985 … the Johansen (1988) and Stock-Watson (1993) procedures. We find that each percentage point in the US-Euro area … estimation methodology, the variables included in the regression, and the sample period. We conjecture that productivity …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469891

Systemic Crises and Growth

Ranciere, Romain - 2005

In this paper, we document the fact that countries that have experienced occasional financial crises have, on average, grown faster than countries with stable financial conditions. We measure the incidence of crisis with the skewness of credit growth, and find that it has a robust negative...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467611

The Collapse of the Mexican Peso : What Have We Learned?

Sachs, Jeffrey - 1995

In the first quarter of 1995 Mexico found itself in the grip of an intense financial panic. Foreign investors fled Mexico despite very high interest rates on Mexican securities, an undervalued currency, and financial indicators that pointed to long-term solvency. The fundamental conditions of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012473740

Surfing the Waves of Globalization : Asia and Financial Globalization in the Context of the Trilemma

Aizenman, Joshua - 2010

Using the "trilemma indexes" developed by Aizenman et al. (2008) that measure the extent of achievement in each of the three policy goals in the trilemma--monetary independence, exchange rate stability, and financial openness--we examine how policy configurations affect macroeconomic...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462774