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Productivity and the Euro-Dollar Exchange Rate Puzzle

Alquist, Ron - 2002

This paper documents the evidence for a productivity based model of the dollar/euro real exchange rate over the 1985 … the Johansen (1988) and Stock-Watson (1993) procedures. We find that each percentage point in the US-Euro area … estimation methodology, the variables included in the regression, and the sample period. We conjecture that productivity …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469891

Surfing the Waves of Globalization : Asia and Financial Globalization in the Context of the Trilemma

Aizenman, Joshua - 2010

Using the "trilemma indexes" developed by Aizenman et al. (2008) that measure the extent of achievement in each of the three policy goals in the trilemma--monetary independence, exchange rate stability, and financial openness--we examine how policy configurations affect macroeconomic...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462774

Traders, Market Microstructure and Exchange Rate Dynamics

Cheung, Yin-Wong - 1999

We report findings from a survey of United States foreign exchange traders. Our results indicate that: (i) The share of customer business, versus interbank business, has remained fairly constant; (ii) The channels by which transactions take place have changed, as electronically-brokered...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471365

A Primer on Real Effective Exchange Rates : Determinants, Overvaluation, Trade Flows and Competitive Devaluation

Chinn, Menzie D. - 2005

characteristics of these differing series are examined, including the exchange rates for the U.S., the euro area and several East …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467158

Doomed to Deficits? Aggregate U.S. Trade Flows Re-Examined

Chinn, Menzie D. - 2003

This paper examines the stability of import and export demand functions for the United States over the 1975q1-2001q2 period. Using the Johansen maximum likelihood approach, an export demand function is readily identified. In contrast, there appears to be a structural break in the import demand...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469181

Before the Fall : Were East Asian Currencies Overvalued?

Chinn, Menzie D. - 1998

I implement two major approaches to identifying the equilibrium exchange rate. First, the concept of purchasing power parity is tested and used to define the equilibrium real exchange rate for the Indonesian rupiah, Korean won, Malaysian ringgit, Philippine peso, Singapore dollar, Taiwanese...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472311

Monetary Policy in Japan, Germany and the United States : Does One Size Fit All?

Chinn, Menzie D. - 1997

We study the post-war evidence for Japan to see if the same specification for both the economy and the monetary policy rule is useful for understanding Japan's economy and monetary policy. A recurrent theme in the literature on Japanese monetary policy is that there are significant differences...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472722

Exchange Rate Prediction Redux : New Models, New Data, New Currencies

Cheung, Yin-Wong - 2017

Previous assessments of nominal exchange rate determination, following Meese and Rogoff (1983) have focused upon a narrow set of models. Cheung et al. (2005) augmented the usual suspects with productivity based models, and "behavioral equilibrium exchange rate" models, and assessed performance...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455414

The Overvaluation of Renminbi Undervaluation

Cheung, Yin-Wong - 2007

We evaluate whether the Renminbi (RMB) is misaligned, relying upon conventional statistical methods of inference. A framework built around the relationship between relative price and relative output levels is used. We find that, once sampling uncertainty and serial correlation are accounted for,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012465806

Long-Horizon Uncovered Interest Rate Parity

Meredith, Guy - 1998

Uncovered interest parity (UIP) has been almost universally rejected in studies of exchange rate movements, although there is little consensus on why it fails. In contrast to previous studies, which have used relatively short-horizon data, we test UIP using interest rates on longer-maturity...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012472016