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We reexamine the expectations theory of the term structure focusing on the question how monetary policy actions indicated by changes in the very short rate affect long-term interest rates. Our main point is that the expectations hypothesis implies that very long rates should only react to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009578577
, and the Deutschmark-US dollar. The estimation results for both models show: (i) that the unrestricted model outperforms …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009579181
to 1998 are used, that is, the period until the introduction of the Euro is considered. A vector error correction model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009616780
problem of online estimation of current values of w = w(T) and a = a(T) from the observations SI , ... ,ST. We propose an … adaptive method of estimation which does not use any information about time homogeneity of the obscured process. We apply this …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009582392
The unbiased expectations hypothesis states that forward rates are unbiased estimates for future short rates. Cox, Ingersoll and Ross [1] conjectured that this hypothesis should be inconsistent with the absence of arbitrage possibilities. Using the framework of Heath, Jarrow and Morton [4] we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009632605