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spreads during the crisis, not only for euro area countries but globally. By contrast, regional spill overs and contagion have … been less important, including for euro area countries. The paper also finds evidence for herding contagion – sharp …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013061742
A striking and unexpected feature of the financial crisis has been the sharp appreciation of the US dollar against virtually all currencies globally. The paper finds that negative US-specific macroeconomic shocks during the crisis have triggered a significant strengthening of the US dollar,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605106
We study market perception of sovereign credit risk in the euro area during the financial crisis. In our analysis we … euro area countries. In our empirical results the estimated LGDs perceived by financial markets stay comfortably below 40 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013052936
In this paper we propose a composite indicator that measures multi-dimensional sovereign bond market stress in the euro … area as a whole and in individual euro area member states. It integrates measures of credit risk, volatility and liquidity … eleven euro area member states and also present four options of a SovCISS for the entire monetary union. In addition, we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315399
Since the intensification of the crisis in September 2008, all euro area long-term government bond yields relative to … euro area spreads, including those for Austria, Finland and the Netherlands. Country-specific credit ratings have played a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013111942
The sovereign debt crisis in the euro area has increased the interest in early warning indicators, with the aim to …, especially for the euro area. We show that a country specific approach could strongly increase the signalling power of early …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013049852
likely confounded by other omitted policy shocks or socioeconomic changes. Moreover, we conduct the DD estimation using both …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138734
Using a novel dataset on changes in capital controls and currency-based prudential measures in 17 major emerging market economies (EMEs) over the period 2001-2011, this paper provides new evidence on domestic and multilateral (or spillover) effects of capital controls before and after the global...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013016947
moving the US dollar, yen and euro in the intended direction at horizons of up to three months after G7 meetings, but not at …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012750085
We develop a high-dimensional and partly nonlinear non-Gaussian dynamic factor model for the decomposition of systematic default risk conditions into a set of latent components that correspond with macroeconomic/financial, default-specific (frailty), and industry-specific effects. Discrete...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013102101