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The COVID-19 pandemic and associated policy responses triggered a historically large wave of capital reallocation between markets and asset classes. Using high-frequency country-level data, this paper examines if and how the number of COVID cases, the stringency of the lockdown, and the fiscal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012518278
This paper extends my previous work by examining the relationship between monetary policy and exchange market pressure (EMP) in 32 emerging market countries. EMP is a gauge of the severity of crises, and part of this paper specifically analyzes crisis periods. Two variables gauge the stance of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014399781
This paper investigates the impact of infectious diseases on the evolution of sovereign credit default swap (CDS) spreads for a panel of 77 advanced and developing countries. Using annual data over the 2004-2020 period, we find that infectious-disease outbreaks have no discernible effect on CDS...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012392655
While the use of public resources is critical to cushion the impact of the financial crisis on the euro-area economy … perspective, to what extent do movements in euro area sovereign spreads reflect country-specific solvency concerns? In line with … previous studies, the paper suggests that euro area sovereign risk premium differentials tend to comove over time and are …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014402235
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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009422255
This paper analyzes the behavior of output during currency crises using a sample of 195 crisis episodes in 91 developing countries during 1970-98. It finds that more than two-fifths of the crises in the sample were expansionary, and that output contraction was greater in large and more developed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014403977
This paper provides evidence on the relationship between monetary policy and the exchange rate in the aftermath of currency crises. It analyzes a large data set of currency crises in 80 countries for the period 1980-98. The main question addressed is: Can monetary policy increase the probability...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401052
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011281170
The degree of an economy's monetization, which has an important implication on economic growth, can be affected by the conduct of monetary policy, financial sector reform, and episodes of financial crises. The paper finds that monetization--measured by the ratio of broad money to nominal GDP--...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009618525