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Boom-Bust Cycles in Middle Income Countries : Facts and Explanation

Tornell, Aaron - 2002

In this paper we characterize empirically the comovements of macro variables typically observed in middle income countries, as well as the boom-bust cycle' that has been observed during the last two decades. We find that many countries that have liberalized their financial markets, have...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469490

Contagion in the European Sovereign Debt Crisis

Glover, Brent - 2014

We use a network model of credit risk to measure market expectations of the potential spillovers from a sovereign default. Specifically, we develop an empirical model, based on the recent theoretical literature on contagion in financial networks, and estimate it with data on sovereign credit...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458098

Credit, Prices, and Crashes : Business Cycles with a Sudden Stop

Mendoza, Enrique G. - 2001

The 1990s emerging-markets crises were characterized by sudden reversals in inflows of foreign capital followed by unusually large declines in current account deficits, private expenditures, production, and prices of nontradable goods relative to tradables. This paper shows that these Sudden...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470386

Dollar Funding and the Lending Behavior of Global Banks

Ivashina, Victoria - 2012

in which such banks cut dollar lending more than euro lending in response to a shock to their credit quality. Because … these banks rely on wholesale dollar funding, while raising more of their euro funding through insured retail deposits, the … dollar funding, there were significant violations of euro-dollar CIP. Moreover, dollar lending by Eurozone banks fell …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460132

Optimal Currency Area : A 20th Century Idea For the 21st Century?

Aizenman, Joshua - 2016

We take stock of the history of the European Monetary Union and pegged exchange-rate regimes in recent decades. The post-Bretton Woods greater financial integration and under-regulated financial intermediation have increased the cost of sustaining a currency area and other forms of fixed...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012456577

Business Cycles in Emerging Economies : The Role of Interest Rates

Neumeyer, Pablo A. - 2004

We find that in a sample of emerging economies business cycles are more volatile than in developed ones, real interest rates are countercyclical and lead the cycle, consumption is more volatile than output and net exports are strongly countercyclical. We present a model of a small open economy,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468306

Measuring Sovereign Contagion in Europe

Caporin, Massimiliano - 2013

This paper analyzes the sovereign risk contagion using credit default swaps (CDS) and bond premiums for the major eurozone countries. By emphasizing several econometric approaches (nonlinear regression, quantile regression and Bayesian quantile regression with heteroskedasticity) we show that...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459921

U.S. Banks, Crises, and Bailouts : From Mexico to LTCM

Stulz, Rene M. - 2000

This paper investigates the impact on bank stock prices of emerging market currency crises and bailouts. The stock market distinguishes between banks with exposure to a crisis country and other banks. In general, banks with exposures to a crisis country are affected adversely by currency events...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471245

Procyclicality and Monetary Aggregates

Shin, Hyun Song - 2011

Financial intermediaries borrow in order to lend. When credit is increasing rapidly, the traditional deposit funding (core liabilities) is supplemented with other funding (non-core liabilities). We explore the hypothesis that monetary aggregates reflect the size of non-core and core liabilities...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012461822

Idiosyncrasy as a Leading Indicator

Morck, Randall; Yeung, Bernard; Zhang, Lu Y. - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2022

Disequilibrating macro shocks affect different firms' prospects differently, increasing idiosyncratic variation in forward-looking stock returns before affecting economic growth. Consistent with most such shocks from 1947 to 2020 enhancing productivity, increased idiosyncratic stock return...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013210099

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