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The Euro/Dollar exchange rate: Chaotic or non-chaotic?
Federici, Daniela; Gandolfo, Giancarlo - 2011
econometrically estimated in continuous time with Euro/Dollar data and examined for the possible presence of chaotic motion. Our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274880
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Monetary policy spillovers and emerging market credit: The impact of Federal Reserve communications on sovereign CDS spreads
Fender, Ingo; Hayo, Bernd; Neuenkirch, Matthias - 2011
In this paper, we study the effects of US target rate changes and related communications by members of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors on spreads for emerging market sovereign credit default swaps (CDS). Using GARCH models, we find that during the pre-financial crisis sub-sample (April...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010286429
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The Triffin dilemma again
Campanella, Edoardo - In: Economics: The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal 4 (2010) 2010-25, pp. 1-18
Tiny changes in the American monetary policy can have dramatic effects on the rest of the world because of dollar's double role of national and international currency. This is the Triffin dilemma. The paper shows how it works through three examples: price of commodities, dollarization, and the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010301326
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China and its Dollar exchange rate: A worldwide stabilizing influence?
McKinnon, Ronald; Schnabl, Gunther - 2011
We argue that criticism concerning the Chinese dollar peg is misplaced as no predictable link exists between the exchange rate and the trade balance of an international creditor economy. The stable nominal yuan/dollar rate is argued to have stabilized Chinese, East Asian and global growth....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010275052
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Testing for convergence in stock markets : a non-linear factor approach
Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Erdogan, Burcu; Kuzin, … - 2009
subgroups including Euro area countries, the UK and the US respectively, provides evidence of a global convergence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274514
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What if the UK had joined the euro in 1999? : An empirical evaluation using a Global VAR
Pesaran, Mohammad Hashem; Smith, L. Vanessa; Smith, Ron P. - 2005
macroeconometric models. As an application we consider UK entry to the euro. Entry involves a long-term commitment to restrict UK … nominal exchange rates and interest rates to be the same as those of the euro area. We derive conditional probability … distributions for the difference between the future realisations of variables of interest (e.g UK and euro area output and prices …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276168
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Organizational form as a source of systemic risk
Bholat, David; Gray, Joanna - In: Economics: The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal 7 (2013) 2013-27, pp. 1-35
Systemic risk now occupies centre stage in discussions of bank regulatory reform. Systemic risk is often seen as a problem of size, operational complexity, interconnectivity and contagion. It is less often discussed in terms of the institutional framework of legal rules and principles within...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010314581
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The crisis and beyond: Thinking outside the box
Hillinger, Claude - In: Economics: The Open-Access, Open-Assessment E-Journal 4 (2010) 2010-23, pp. 1-61
In this paper the author attempts an analysis of the current financial/economic crisis that is wider ranging and more fundamental than he has been able to find. He discusses alternatives to the financial bailouts and shows how the crisis could have been dealt with more efficiently and at little...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010301113
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Escaping from a combination of liquidity trap and credit crunch
Heinemann, Frank - 2008
This brief exposition suggests that the Federal Reserve System temporarily guarantee a lower bound on stock prices in order to escape the current combination of liquidity trap and credit crunch. It shortly discusses reasons for this measure, consequences, and some alternatives. It is meant as a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010264478
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Securitization and moral hazard: Evidence from credit score cutoff rules
Bubb, Ryan; Kaufman, Alex - 2011
Mortgage originators use credit score cutoff rules to determine how carefully to screen loan applicants. Recent research has hypothesized that these cutoff rules result from a securitization rule of thumb. Under this theory, an observed jump in defaults at the cutoff would imply that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010286944