Showing 1 - 10 of 89
econometrically estimated in continuous time with Euro/Dollar data and examined for the possible presence of chaotic motion. Our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274880
In this paper, we study the effects of US target rate changes and related communications by members of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors on spreads for emerging market sovereign credit default swaps (CDS). Using GARCH models, we find that during the pre-financial crisis sub-sample (April...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010286429
We argue that criticism concerning the Chinese dollar peg is misplaced as no predictable link exists between the exchange rate and the trade balance of an international creditor economy. The stable nominal yuan/dollar rate is argued to have stabilized Chinese, East Asian and global growth....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010275052
by robust statistical methods. The estimation period reaches from 1997 to 2007. It is shown that most of the composite …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010265989
In this paper we assess the information content of seven widely cited early indicators for the euro area with respect … forecasts the OECD composite leading indicator performs very good by all criteria, and for 12-month forecasts the FAZ-Euro …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010270868
subgroups including Euro area countries, the UK and the US respectively, provides evidence of a global convergence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274514
This brief exposition suggests that the Federal Reserve System temporarily guarantee a lower bound on stock prices in order to escape the current combination of liquidity trap and credit crunch. It shortly discusses reasons for this measure, consequences, and some alternatives. It is meant as a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010264478
The life-cycle framework is the standard way that economists think about the intertemporal allocation of time, effort and money. The framework has a venerable history in the economics profession with roots in the in…nite horizon models of Ramsey (1926) and Friedman (1957) and the …nite...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292931
This paper investigates the relationship between product market competition (PMC) and innovation. A Schumpeterian growth model is developed in which firms innovate ѳtep-by-stepҬ and where both technological leaders and their followers engage in R&D activities. In this model, competition...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292944
This paper describes the transmission of income inequality into consumption inequality and in so doing investigates the degree of insurance to income shocks. It combines panel data on income from the PSID with consumption data from repeated CEX cross-sections and distinguishes between permanent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292960