Showing 1 - 10 of 99
The potential mutation of the Sub-Prime banking crisis into a sovereign debt one in Euro area countries is investigated … the end 2009 the probability of observing a Euro area country defaulting is less likely than six month before … self-fulfilling, sovereign debt or currency crises in Euro area in the future. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010270470
econometrically estimated in continuous time with Euro/Dollar data and examined for the possible presence of chaotic motion. Our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274880
In this paper, we study the effects of US target rate changes and related communications by members of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors on spreads for emerging market sovereign credit default swaps (CDS). Using GARCH models, we find that during the pre-financial crisis sub-sample (April...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010286429
We present a new approach to study empirically the effect of the introduction of the euro on currency invoicing. Our … home currency invoicing after the introduction of the euro. In addition, the euro as a vehicle currency has overtaken the … role of the US dollar in Norwegian imports. The econometric analysis shows a significant effect of euro introduction above …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010275698
This paper studies the dynamics of volatility transmission between Central European currencies and euro/dollar foreign … significant spillovers running from euro/dollar to the Central European foreign exchange markets. To measure the overall magnitude …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010270529
This paper questions traditional approaches for testing the day-of-the-week effect on stock returns. We propose an alternative approach based on the closure test principle introduced by Marcus, Peritz and Gabriel (1976), which has become very popular in Biometrics and Medical Statistics. We test...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292794
We investigate whether and to what extent multiple encompassing tests may help determine weights for forecast averaging in a standard vector autoregressive setting. To this end we consider a new test-based procedure, which assigns non-zero weights to candidate models that add information not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010294025
Poland is obligated to adopt the euro after the fulfilment, inter alia, of the exchange rate criterion which requires … estimate real Polish zloty/euro equilibrium rate. Although the main goal of our analysis is to compute measures of current and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010264576
The paper investigates the extent to which the dollar/sterling exchange rate fluctuations affect coffee and cocoa futures prices on the London LIFFE and the New York CSCE by means of multivariate GARCH models - under the assumption that traders in perfectly competitive markets have equal access...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010291928
We argue that criticism concerning the Chinese dollar peg is misplaced as no predictable link exists between the exchange rate and the trade balance of an international creditor economy. The stable nominal yuan/dollar rate is argued to have stabilized Chinese, East Asian and global growth....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010275052