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VAR is estimated for 26 countries, the euro area being treated as a single economy. This paper proposes two important … the monetary policy shocks, and consider the time profiles of their effects on the euro area. To this end we include the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276161
This paper considers a simple model of credit risk and derives the limit distribution of losses under different assumptions regarding the structure of systematic and idiosyncratic risks and the nature of firm heterogeneity. The theoretical results obtained indicate that if firm-specific risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276169
Present value calculations require predictions of cash flows both at near and distant future points in time. Such predictions are generally surrounded by considerable uncertainty and may critically depend on assumptions about parameter values as well as the form and stability of the data...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276173
direct forecasts when estimation error is a first-order concern, i.e. in small samples and for long forecast horizons …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276226
Carlo experiments, where we also study the estimation of the aggregate effects of micro and macro shocks. The paper …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010285540