Showing 1 - 10 of 88
econometrically estimated in continuous time with Euro/Dollar data and examined for the possible presence of chaotic motion. Our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274880
In this paper, we study the effects of US target rate changes and related communications by members of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors on spreads for emerging market sovereign credit default swaps (CDS). Using GARCH models, we find that during the pre-financial crisis sub-sample (April...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010286429
We argue that criticism concerning the Chinese dollar peg is misplaced as no predictable link exists between the exchange rate and the trade balance of an international creditor economy. The stable nominal yuan/dollar rate is argued to have stabilized Chinese, East Asian and global growth....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010275052
subgroups including Euro area countries, the UK and the US respectively, provides evidence of a global convergence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274514
macroeconometric models. As an application we consider UK entry to the euro. Entry involves a long-term commitment to restrict UK … nominal exchange rates and interest rates to be the same as those of the euro area. We derive conditional probability … distributions for the difference between the future realisations of variables of interest (e.g UK and euro area output and prices …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276168
This brief exposition suggests that the Federal Reserve System temporarily guarantee a lower bound on stock prices in order to escape the current combination of liquidity trap and credit crunch. It shortly discusses reasons for this measure, consequences, and some alternatives. It is meant as a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010264478
We model annual low pay transition probabilities taking account of three potentially endogenous selections: two sample drop-out mechanisms (panel attrition, non-employment) and ?initial conditions? (base-year low pay status). This model, and variants that ignore one or more of these selection...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010261224
This paper investigates whether national evaluation of decentralised government performance tends, by lessening local information spill-overs, to reduce the scope for local performance comparisons and consequently to lower the extent of spatial auto-correlation among local government...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010261255
A standard finding in the political economy of trade policy literature is that we should expect export-oriented industries to attract more assistance than import-competing industries. In reality, however, trade policy is heavily biased toward supporting import industries. This paper shows within...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010261301
In this paper we investigate the effects of central bank interventions (CBI) in a noise trading model with chartists and fundamentalists. We first estimate a model in which chartists extrapolate past returns and fundamentalists forecast a mean reverting dynamics of the exchange rate towards a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010261316