Showing 1 - 6 of 6
This paper explores the effect of oil price fluctuations on the stock returns of U.S. oil firms using a strategy of identification through heteroskedasticity exploiting the 2020 oil crash. Results are twofold. First, we find that a decline in oil prices statistically significantly reduces stock...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014083040
Most evidence for the resource curse comes from cross-country growth regressions suffers from a bias originating from the high and ever-evolving volatility in commodity prices. This paper addresses these issues by providing new cross-country empirical evidence for the effect of resources in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010270466
Present value calculations require predictions of cash flows both at near and distant future points in time. Such predictions are generally surrounded by considerable uncertainty and may critically depend on assumptions about parameter values as well as the form and stability of the data...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276173
direct forecasts when estimation error is a first-order concern, i.e. in small samples and for long forecast horizons …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010276226
In this paper we investigate the effects of central bank interventions (CBI) in a noise trading model with chartists and fundamentalists. We first estimate a model in which chartists extrapolate past returns and fundamentalists forecast a mean reverting dynamics of the exchange rate towards a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010261316
This paper investigates the relationship between the euro-dollar exchange rate and its underlying fundamentals. First …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010261347