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Exchange Rate Policy and Debt Crises in Emerging Economies

Montiel, Peter - 2003

We explore a model intended to capture the interaction between exchange rate policy, fiscal policy, and outright default on foreign-currency denominated debt. We examine how the exchange rate affects the supply of short-term debt facing the government. We show that under a credible hard peg...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014403958

Exchange rates and sovereign risk : a nonlinear approach based on local Gaussian correlations

Heinlein, Reinhold; Legrenzi, Gabriella; Mahadeo, Scott … - 2024

We empirically assess the interlinkages between sovereign risk, measured in terms of CDS spreads, and exchange rates for a sample of emerging markets. Our period of analysis includes periods of severe stress, such as the Global Financial Crisis, the COVID-19 pandemic and the Ukrainian War. Using...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014505308

Banking and debt crisis in Europe : the dangerous liaisons?

Candelon, Bertrand; Palm, Franz C. - 2010

The potential mutation of the Sub-Prime banking crisis into a sovereign debt one in Euro area countries is investigated … the end 2009 the probability of observing a Euro area country defaulting is less likely than six month before … self-fulfilling, sovereign debt or currency crises in Euro area in the future. -- king crisis ; sovereign debt crisis …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003951604

Boom-bust cycles in middle income countries : facts and explanation

Tornell, Aaron; Westermann, Frank - 2002

In this paper we characterize empirically the comovements of macro variables typically observed in middle income countries, as well as the boom-bust cycle that has been observed during the last two decades. We find that many countries that have liberalized their financial markets, have witnessed...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011410453

Emerging Market Bond Spreads and Sovereign Credit Ratings : Reconciling Market Views with Economic Fundamentals

Sy, Amadou N. R. - 2001

This paper uses a panel data estimation of a simple univariate model of sovereign spreads on ratings to analyze …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014403600

Testing the Informational Efficiency of OTC Optionson Emerging Market Currencies

Chan-Lau, Jorge A. - 2003

This paper analyzes the informational efficiency of OTC currency options on the Czech koruna and the Polish zloty correcting for the volatility risk premium and errors-in-variable problems, using state-of-the-art techniques (Chernov 2001). It finds that these markets are more efficient than...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014403635

The euro crisis and economic growth : a novel counterfactual approach

Terzi, Alessio - 2019 - This Draft: 25 June 2019

Macroeconomic adjustment in the euro area periphery was more recessionary than pre-crisis imbalances would have …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012033212

China vs. U.S. : IMS meets IPS

Maggiori, Matteo; Farhi, Emmanuel - 2019

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012041967

Different no more : country spreads in advanced and emerging economies

Born, Benjamin; Müller, Gernot J.; Pfeifer, Johannes; … - 2020

Interest-rate spreads fluctuate widely across time and countries. We characterize their behavior using some 3,200 quarterly observations for 21 advanced and 17 emerging economies since the early 1990s. Before the financial crisis, spreads are 10 times more volatile in emerging economies than in...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012162762

An event study of COVID-19 central bank quantitative easing in advanced and emerging economies

Hartley, Jonathan; Rebucci, Alessandro - 2020

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012228897

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