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Exchange rates and sovereign risk : a nonlinear approach based on local Gaussian correlations
Heinlein, Reinhold; Legrenzi, Gabriella; Mahadeo, Scott … - 2024
We empirically assess the interlinkages between sovereign risk, measured in terms of CDS spreads, and exchange rates for a sample of emerging markets. Our period of analysis includes periods of severe stress, such as the Global Financial Crisis, the COVID-19 pandemic and the Ukrainian War. Using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014505308
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Boom-bust cycles in middle income countries : facts and explanation
Tornell, Aaron; Westermann, Frank - 2002
In this paper we characterize empirically the comovements of macro variables typically observed in middle income countries, as well as the boom-bust cycle that has been observed during the last two decades. We find that many countries that have liberalized their financial markets, have witnessed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011410453
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The euro crisis and economic growth : a novel counterfactual approach
Terzi, Alessio - 2019 - This Draft: 25 June 2019
Macroeconomic adjustment in the euro area periphery was more recessionary than pre-crisis imbalances would have …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012033212
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Asymmetry in forward exchange rate bias : a puzzling result
Wu, Yangru - In: Economics letters 50 (1996) 3, pp. 407-411
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001197787
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UIP deviations in times of uncertainty : not all countries behave alike
Gole, Purva; Perego, Erica; Turcu, Camelia - In: Economics letters 242 (2024), pp. 1-7
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015079811
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Examining the first stages of market performance : a test for evolving markt efficiency
Zalewska-Mitura, Anna; Hall, Stephen G. - In: Economics letters 64 (1999) 1, pp. 1-12
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001399157
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Time-varying exchange rate basket in China from 2005 to 2009
Fidrmuc, Jarko - 2010
We use the Kalman filter to estimate the structure of the secret currency basket of the renminbi based on daily data between 2005 and 2009. The currency weights of selected currencies are modeled as stochastic processes (random walks). The official announcement of the new exchange rate regime in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003997605
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The Euro/Dollar exchange rate : chaotic or non-chaotic?
Federici, Daniela; Gandolfo, Giancarlo - 2011
econometrically estimated in continuous time with Euro/Dollar data and examined for the possible presence of chaotic motion. Our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009011774
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Statements of ECB officials and their effect on the level and volatility of the Euro-Dollar exchange rate
Jansen, David-Jan; Haan, Jakob de - 2003
This paper studies the reaction of the mean and volatility of the euro-dollar exchange rate to statements of ECB … officials during the first years of EMU. We focus on statements on monetary policy and the (potential) strength of the euro. We …. In some cases there are effects of statements on the level of the euro-dollar rate. Efforts to talk up the euro have not …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011507830
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Testing efficient market hypothesis for the dollar-sterling gold standard exchange rate 1890 - 1906 : MLE with double truncation
Goldman, Elena - In: Economics letters 69 (2000) 3, pp. 253-259
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001525548