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The euro crisis and economic growth : a novel counterfactual approach
Terzi, Alessio - 2019 - This Draft: 25 June 2019
Macroeconomic adjustment in the euro area periphery was more recessionary than pre-crisis imbalances would have …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012033212
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Different no more : country spreads in advanced and emerging economies
Born, Benjamin; Müller, Gernot J.; Pfeifer, Johannes; … - 2020
Interest-rate spreads fluctuate widely across time and countries. We characterize their behavior using some 3,200 quarterly observations for 21 advanced and 17 emerging economies since the early 1990s. Before the financial crisis, spreads are 10 times more volatile in emerging economies than in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012162762
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Emerging Markets Crisis : An Asset Markets Perspective
Krishnamurthy, Arvind - 1999
The entire difference between a mild downturn and a devastating crisis is the occurrence of sharp fire sales of domestic assets and possibly foreign exchange and the ensuing collapse in the balance sheets of both the financial and nonfinancial sector. Why and how do such crises materialize? And...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014400170
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Current Account Reversals and Currency Crisis : Empirical Regularities
Milesi-Ferretti, Gian-Maria - 1998
This paper studies large reductions in current account deficits and exchange rate depreciations in low- and middle-income countries. It examines which factors help predict the occurrence of a reversal or a currency crisis, and how these events affect macroeconomic performance. Both domestic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014401718
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Do multi-sector bond funds pose risks to emerging markets?
Cortes, Fabio; Sanfilippo, Luca - 2020
Emerging economies in the post-crisis period increasingly saw portfolio debt inflows from a type of large international investment fund: Multi-Sector Bond Funds (MSBFs). These investors have lacked adequate representation in the literature. This paper constructs a new detailed database from...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012300674
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The Euro/Dollar exchange rate : chaotic or non-chaotic?
Federici, Daniela; Gandolfo, Giancarlo - 2011
econometrically estimated in continuous time with Euro/Dollar data and examined for the possible presence of chaotic motion. Our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009011774
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Statements of ECB officials and their effect on the level and volatility of the Euro-Dollar exchange rate
Jansen, David-Jan; Haan, Jakob de - 2003
This paper studies the reaction of the mean and volatility of the euro-dollar exchange rate to statements of ECB … officials during the first years of EMU. We focus on statements on monetary policy and the (potential) strength of the euro. We …. In some cases there are effects of statements on the level of the euro-dollar rate. Efforts to talk up the euro have not …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011507830
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The existence of informationally efficient markets when individuals are rational
Muendler, Marc-Andreas - 2004
A rational-expectations equilibrium with positive demand for financial information does exist under fully revealing asset price - contrary to a wide-held conjecture. Generalizing the common additive signal-return model with CARA utility to the family of distributions with moment generating...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011451345
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Emerging Market Spreads : Then Versus Now
Yafeh, Yishay - 2000
This paper analyzes yield spreads on sovereign debt issued by emerging markets using modern data from the 1990s and newly-collected historical data on debt traded in London during 1870–1913, a previous “golden era” for international capital market integration. Applying several empirical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014403800
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Capital markets, COVID-19 and policy measures
ElFayoumi, Khalid; Hengge, Martina - 2021
The COVID-19 pandemic and associated policy responses triggered a historically large wave of capital reallocation between markets and asset classes. Using high-frequency country-level data, this paper examines if and how the number of COVID cases, the stringency of the lockdown, and the fiscal...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012518278