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Exchange rates and sovereign risk : a nonlinear approach based on local Gaussian correlations
Heinlein, Reinhold; Legrenzi, Gabriella; Mahadeo, Scott … - 2024
We empirically assess the interlinkages between sovereign risk, measured in terms of CDS spreads, and exchange rates for a sample of emerging markets. Our period of analysis includes periods of severe stress, such as the Global Financial Crisis, the COVID-19 pandemic and the Ukrainian War. Using...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014505308
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Boom-bust cycles in middle income countries : facts and explanation
Tornell, Aaron; Westermann, Frank - 2002
In this paper we characterize empirically the comovements of macro variables typically observed in middle income countries, as well as the boom-bust cycle that has been observed during the last two decades. We find that many countries that have liberalized their financial markets, have witnessed...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011410453
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The euro crisis and economic growth : a novel counterfactual approach
Terzi, Alessio - 2019 - This Draft: 25 June 2019
Macroeconomic adjustment in the euro area periphery was more recessionary than pre-crisis imbalances would have …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012033212
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Have financial markets become more informative?
Bai, Jennie; Philippon, Thomas; Savov, Alexi - 2012
The finance industry has grown. Financial markets have become more liquid. Information technology has improved. But have prices become more informative? Using stock and bond prices to forecast earnings, we find that the information content of market prices has not increased since 1960. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009657611
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Estimating the impacts of US LSAP's on emerging market economies' local currency bond markets
Moore, Jeffrey A.; Nam, Sunwoo; Suh, Myeongguk; Tepper, … - 2013
This paper examines whether large-scale asset purchases (LSAPs) by the Federal Reserve influenced capital flows out of the United States and into emerging market economies (EMEs) and also analyzes the degree of pass-through from long-term U.S. government bond yields to long-term EME bond yields....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009692612
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Time-varying exchange rate basket in China from 2005 to 2009
Fidrmuc, Jarko - 2010
We use the Kalman filter to estimate the structure of the secret currency basket of the renminbi based on daily data between 2005 and 2009. The currency weights of selected currencies are modeled as stochastic processes (random walks). The official announcement of the new exchange rate regime in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003997605
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The Euro/Dollar exchange rate : chaotic or non-chaotic?
Federici, Daniela; Gandolfo, Giancarlo - 2011
econometrically estimated in continuous time with Euro/Dollar data and examined for the possible presence of chaotic motion. Our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009011774
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Statements of ECB officials and their effect on the level and volatility of the Euro-Dollar exchange rate
Jansen, David-Jan; Haan, Jakob de - 2003
This paper studies the reaction of the mean and volatility of the euro-dollar exchange rate to statements of ECB … officials during the first years of EMU. We focus on statements on monetary policy and the (potential) strength of the euro. We …. In some cases there are effects of statements on the level of the euro-dollar rate. Efforts to talk up the euro have not …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011507830
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The existence of informationally efficient markets when individuals are rational
Muendler, Marc-Andreas - 2004
A rational-expectations equilibrium with positive demand for financial information does exist under fully revealing asset price - contrary to a wide-held conjecture. Generalizing the common additive signal-return model with CARA utility to the family of distributions with moment generating...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011451345
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Financial fragility and Mexico's 1994 peso crisis : an event-window analysis of market-valuation effects
Wilson, Berry K.; Saunders, Anthony; Caprio, Gerard - In: Journal of money, credit and banking : JMCB 32 (2000) 3,2, pp. 450-468
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001509482