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Banking and debt crisis in Europe : the dangerous liaisons?

Candelon, Bertrand; Palm, Franz C. - 2010

The potential mutation of the Sub-Prime banking crisis into a sovereign debt one in Euro area countries is investigated … the end 2009 the probability of observing a Euro area country defaulting is less likely than six month before … self-fulfilling, sovereign debt or currency crises in Euro area in the future. -- king crisis ; sovereign debt crisis …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003951604

Boom-bust cycles in middle income countries : facts and explanation

Tornell, Aaron; Westermann, Frank - 2002

In this paper we characterize empirically the comovements of macro variables typically observed in middle income countries, as well as the boom-bust cycle that has been observed during the last two decades. We find that many countries that have liberalized their financial markets, have witnessed...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011410453

Boom-Bust Cycles in Middle Income Countries : Facts and Explanation

Tornell, Aaron - 2002

In this paper we characterize empirically the comovements of macro variables typically observed in middle income countries, as well as the boom-bust cycle' that has been observed during the last two decades. We find that many countries that have liberalized their financial markets, have...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012469490

The euro crisis and economic growth : a novel counterfactual approach

Terzi, Alessio - 2019 - This Draft: 25 June 2019

Macroeconomic adjustment in the euro area periphery was more recessionary than pre-crisis imbalances would have …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012033212

Have Financial Markets Become More Informative?

Bai, Jennie - 2013

The finance industry has grown, financial markets have become more liquid, information technology has undergone a revolution. But have market prices become more informative? We derive a welfare-based measure of price informativeness: the predicted variation of future cash flows from current...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458935

Contagion in the European Sovereign Debt Crisis

Glover, Brent - 2014

We use a network model of credit risk to measure market expectations of the potential spillovers from a sovereign default. Specifically, we develop an empirical model, based on the recent theoretical literature on contagion in financial networks, and estimate it with data on sovereign credit...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458098

Different no more : country spreads in advanced and emerging economies

Born, Benjamin; Müller, Gernot J.; Pfeifer, Johannes; … - 2020

Interest-rate spreads fluctuate widely across time and countries. We characterize their behavior using some 3,200 quarterly observations for 21 advanced and 17 emerging economies since the early 1990s. Before the financial crisis, spreads are 10 times more volatile in emerging economies than in...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012162762

Reserve Accumulation, Macroeconomic Stabilization, and Sovereign Risk

Bianchi, Javier - 2020

In the past three decades, governments in emerging markets have accumulated large amounts of international reserves, especially those with fixed exchange rates. We propose a theory of reserve accumulation that can account for these facts. Using a model of endogenous sovereign default with...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481517

Financial Vulnerability and Risks to Growth in Emerging Markets

Acharya, Viral V. - 2020

This paper introduces a new financial vulnerability index for emerging market economies by exploiting key differences in their business cycles relative to those of advanced economies. Information on the domestic price of risk, cost of dollar hedging and market-based measures of bank...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012481606

Transparency, Risk Management and International Financial Fragility

Draghi, Mario - 2003

Discussions of financial risk often fail to distinguish between risks that are consciously borne and those that are not. To understand the breeding conditions for financial crises the prime focus of concern should not be simply on large risk-taking per se, but on the unintended, or unanticipated...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468892

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