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Statements of ECB officials and their effect on the level and volatility of the Euro-Dollar exchange rate

Jansen, David-Jan; Haan, Jakob de - 2003

This paper studies the reaction of the mean and volatility of the euro-dollar exchange rate to statements of ECB … officials during the first years of EMU. We focus on statements on monetary policy and the (potential) strength of the euro. We …. In some cases there are effects of statements on the level of the euro-dollar rate. Efforts to talk up the euro have not …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011507830

Capital flow reversals and currency crises : do capital flow types matter?

Zhang, Mengting; Steiner, Andreas; Haan, Jakob de; … - 2024

We analyse how reversals of several types of capital flows impact currency crises in emerging market and developing economies. Estimates of logit models show that reversals of (equity and debt) portfolio flows significantly increase the likelihood of currency crises in emerging market economies....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014502445

Spillovers from systemic bank defaults

Mink, Mark; Haan, Jakob de - 2014

We examine to what extent banks' stock market values during the 2007-2012 financial crisis were driven by increases in the default risk of banks designated as globally systemically important by the Financial Stability Board. We find that bank market values hardly respond to changes in the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010354063

The effects of the saving and banking glut on the US economy

Justiniano, Alejandro; Primiceri, Giorgio E.; … - 2013

We use a quantitative equilibrium model with houses, collateralized debt, and foreign borrowing to study the impact of global imbalances on the U.S. economy in the 2000s. Our results suggest that the dynamics of foreign capital flows account for between one-fourth and one-third of the increase...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010202659

Finance and income inequality : a review and new evidence

Haan, Jakob de; Sturm, Jan-Egbert - 2016

Using a panel fixed effects model for a sample of 121 countries covering 1975-2005, we examine how financial development, financial liberalization and banking crises are related to income inequality. In contrast with most previous work, our results suggest that all finance variables increase...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011536253

Financial stability considerations for monetary policy : theoretical mechanisms

Ajello, Andrea; Boyarchenko, Nina; Gourio, François; … - 2022

This paper reviews the theoretical literature at the intersection of macroeconomics and finance to draw lessons on the connection between vulnerabilities in the financial system and the macroeconomy, and on how monetary policy affects that connection. This literature finds that financial...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013161877

Alternative measures for the global financial cycle : do they make a difference?

Tian, Xin; Jacobs, Jan; Haan, Jakob de - 2022

We construct several measures for the global financial cycle using dynamic factor models and data for 25 advanced and emerging countries over 1980-2019. Our results suggest that global cycles in asset prices and capital flows are highly similar and synchronized, especially during crisis...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013186798

Investment shocks and the relative price of investment

Justiniano, Alejandro; Primiceri, Giorgio E.; … - 2009

We estimate a New-Neoclassical Synthesis model of the business cycle with two investment shocks. The first, an investment-specific technology shock, affects the transformation of consumption into investment goods and is identified with the relative price of investment. The second shock affects...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003948199

Credit supply and the housing boom

Justiniano, Alejandro; Primiceri, Giorgio E.; … - 2015

The housing boom that preceded the Great Recession was the result of an increase in credit supply driven by looser lending constraints in the mortgage market. This view on the fundamental drivers of the boom is consistent with four empirical observations: the unprecedented rise in home prices,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010482958

Global trends in interest rates

Del Negro, Marco; Giannone, Domenico; Giannoni, Marc Paolo - 2018

The trend in the world real interest rate for safe and liquid assets fluctuated close to 2 percent for more than a century, but has dropped significantly over the past three decades. This decline has been common among advanced economies, as trends in real interest rates across countries have...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011904671