Showing 1 - 10 of 312
The potential mutation of the Sub-Prime banking crisis into a sovereign debt one in Euro area countries is investigated … the end 2009 the probability of observing a Euro area country defaulting is less likely than six month before … self-fulfilling, sovereign debt or currency crises in Euro area in the future. -- king crisis ; sovereign debt crisis …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003951604
Macroeconomic adjustment in the euro area periphery was more recessionary than pre-crisis imbalances would have …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012033212
is described using a stochastic regime-switching model; second, the euro area governments’ responses to uncertain … macroeconomic policies in Greece are considered. The model's mechanism and assumptions allow either for a Grexit from the euro area … understand key drivers of the long-winded negotiations between the Syiza government and the euro area governments. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011406792
econometrically estimated in continuous time with Euro/Dollar data and examined for the possible presence of chaotic motion. Our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009011774
This paper studies the reaction of the mean and volatility of the euro-dollar exchange rate to statements of ECB … officials during the first years of EMU. We focus on statements on monetary policy and the (potential) strength of the euro. We …. In some cases there are effects of statements on the level of the euro-dollar rate. Efforts to talk up the euro have not …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011507830
Since the beginning of 2010, the Euro Area faces a severe sovereign debt crisis, now generally known as the Euro Crisis …. While the Euro Crisis has its origin in Greece, problems have now spread to several other European countries as well … the Euro Crisis, or if the countries' problems are instead due to fundamental problems in the affected economies. Our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009272289
Using quarterly data on four commodity exporting countries, we study the explanatory power of real commodity prices for predicting real effective exchange rates, with special attention to the separate roles of different sectoral commodity prices during alternative time periods. We find that the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013383435
This paper seeks to understand the interplay between banks, bank regulation, sovereign default risk and central bank guarantees in a monetary union. I assume that banks can use sovereign bonds for repurchase agreements with a common central bank, and that their sovereign partially backs up any...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009786077
theoretically and empirically motivated banking sector characteristics, and a Bayesian inference in panel estimation as a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011646829
In the current debate on the reasons and implications of the Greek and Irish euro crisis, the intra-European current … imbalances since the euro introduction and thereby the current European debt crisis. Based on this finding we argue that an … imbalances ; inter-temporal savings ; financial crisis ; euro crisis ; European debt crisis ; theory of optimum currency areas …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008798227