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Banks' portfolio of government debt and sovereign risk

Afonso, António; Alves, José; Monteiro, Sofia - 2023

We analyze domestic, foreign, and central banks holdings of public debt for 31 countries for the period of 1989-2022, applying panel regressions and quantile analysis. We conclude that an increase in sovereign risk raises the share of domestic banks' portfolio of public debt and reduces the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014383613

Bank regulation and sovereign risk : a paradox

Afonso, António; Teixeira, André - 2023

This paper investigates the impact of banking prudential regulation on sovereign risk. We show that prudential regulation reduces sovereign risk and induces governments to spend more. As a result, countries with tight prudential regulation have lower primary budget balances and accumulate more...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014281475

Beyond borders : assessing the influence of geopolitical tensions on sovereign risk dynamics

Afonso, António; Alves, José; Monteiro, Sofia - 2023

We assess the impact of geopolitical risk and world uncertainty on the sovereign debt risk of 26 European Economies during the period 1984-2022, through the implementation of OLS-Fixed Effects regressions and the Generalized Method of Moments (GMM). We find that geopolitical tensions and global...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014442414

Inter-temporal savings, current account dynamics and asymmetric shocks in a heterogeneous European Monetary Union

Schnabl, Gunther; Zemanek, Holger - 2010

In the current debate on the reasons and implications of the Greek and Irish euro crisis, the intra-European current … imbalances since the euro introduction and thereby the current European debt crisis. Based on this finding we argue that an … imbalances ; inter-temporal savings ; financial crisis ; euro crisis ; European debt crisis ; theory of optimum currency areas …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008798227

Monetary policies of large industrialised countries, emerging market credit cycles and feedback effects

Andreas, Hoffmann; Schnabl, Gunther - 2014

This paper explores the link between monetary policies of large industrial countries and international credit cycles. Based on an overinvestment framework, we show that in the prevailing asymmetric world monetary system, monetary policies of large centre countries can fuel credit booms in...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010337620

Monetary policy, vagabonding liquidity and bursting bubbles in new and emerging markets : an overinvestment view

Schnabl, Gunther (contributor); … - 2007

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003599390

"Whatever it takes" to resolve the European sovereign debt crisis? : bond pricing regime switches and monetary policy effects

Afonso, António; Arghyrou, Michael Georgiou; Gadea, … - 2017

This paper investigates the role of unconventional monetary policy as a source of time-variation in the relationship between sovereign bond yield spreads and their fundamental determinants. Our results provide evidence of a new bond-pricing regime following the announcement of the Outright...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011735972

China and its Dollar exchange rate : a worldwide stabilizing influence?

McKinnon, Ronald I.; Schnabl, Gunther - 2011

We argue that criticism concerning the Chinese dollar peg is misplaced as no predictable link exists between the exchange rate and the trade balance of an international creditor economy. The stable nominal yuan/dollar rate is argued to have stabilized Chinese, East Asian and global growth....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009127709

Adverse effects of ultra-loose monetary policies on investment, growth and income distribution

Hoffmann, Andreas; Schnabl, Gunther - 2016

The paper analyses adverse investment, growth and distributional effects of ultra-loose monetary policies based on the monetary overinvestment theories of Hayek and Mises. We argue that ultra-loose monetary policies create incentives to substitute real investment by financial investment. When...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011428355

Central banking and crisis management from the perspective of Austrian business cycle theory

Schnabl, Gunther - 2016

The paper analyses the evolvement and effects of central bank crisis management since the mid 1980s based on a Hayek-Mises-Wicksell overinvestment framework. It is shown that, given that the traditional transmission mechanism between monetary policy and consumer price inflation has collapsed,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011561161