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Statements of ECB officials and their effect on the level and volatility of the Euro-Dollar exchange rate

Jansen, David-Jan; Haan, Jakob de - 2003

This paper studies the reaction of the mean and volatility of the euro-dollar exchange rate to statements of ECB … officials during the first years of EMU. We focus on statements on monetary policy and the (potential) strength of the euro. We …. In some cases there are effects of statements on the level of the euro-dollar rate. Efforts to talk up the euro have not …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011507830

Capital flow reversals and currency crises : do capital flow types matter?

Zhang, Mengting; Steiner, Andreas; Haan, Jakob de; … - 2024

We analyse how reversals of several types of capital flows impact currency crises in emerging market and developing economies. Estimates of logit models show that reversals of (equity and debt) portfolio flows significantly increase the likelihood of currency crises in emerging market economies....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014502445

Going to extremes : politics after financial crisis, 1870 - 2014

Funke, Manuel; Schularick, Moritz; Trebesch, Christoph - 2015

Partisan conflict and policy uncertainty are frequently invoked as factors contributing to slow post-crisis recoveries. Recent events in Europe provide ample evidence that the political aftershocks of financial crises can be severe. In this paper we study the political fall-out from systemic...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011349087

Betting the house

Jordà, Òscar; Schularick, Moritz; Taylor, Alan M. - 2014

Is there a link between loose monetary conditions, credit growth, house price booms, and financial instability? This paper analyzes the role of interest rates and credit in driving house price booms and busts with data spanning 140 years of modern economic history in the advanced economies. We...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010468583

The great mortgaging : housing finance, crises, and business cycles

Jordà, Òscar; Schularick, Moritz; Taylor, Alan M. - 2014

This paper unveils a new resource for macroeconomic research: a long-run dataset covering disaggregated bank credit for 17 advanced economies since 1870. The new data show that the share of mortgages on banks’ balance sheets doubled in the course of the 20th century, driven by a sharp rise of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010412763

Global uncertainty

Caggiano, Giovanni; Castelnuovo, Efrem - 2021

We estimate a novel measure of global financial uncertainty (GFU) with a dynamic factor framework that jointly models global, regional, and country-specific factors. We quantify the impact of GFU shocks on global output with a VAR analysis that achieves set-identification via a combination of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012431805

Central bank balance sheets : expansion and reduction since 1900

Ferguson, Niall; Schaab, Andreas; Schularick, Moritz - 2015

In this paper we study the evolution of central banks' balance sheets in 12 advanced economies since 1900. We find that balance sheet size in most developed countries has fluctuated within rather clearly defined bands relative to output. Historically, clusters of big expansions and contractions...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010528949

Spillovers from systemic bank defaults

Mink, Mark; Haan, Jakob de - 2014

We examine to what extent banks' stock market values during the 2007-2012 financial crisis were driven by increases in the default risk of banks designated as globally systemically important by the Financial Stability Board. We find that bank market values hardly respond to changes in the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010354063

Sovereigns versus banks : credit, crises, and consequences

Jordà, Òscar; Schularick, Moritz; Taylor, Alan M. - 2013

Two separate narratives have emerged in the wake of the Global Financial Crisis. One speaks of private financial excess and the key role of the banking system in leveraging and deleveraging the economy. The other emphasizes the public sector balance sheet over the private and worries about the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010199757

Finance and income inequality : a review and new evidence

Haan, Jakob de; Sturm, Jan-Egbert - 2016

Using a panel fixed effects model for a sample of 121 countries covering 1975-2005, we examine how financial development, financial liberalization and banking crises are related to income inequality. In contrast with most previous work, our results suggest that all finance variables increase...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011536253