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Inter-temporal savings, current account dynamics and asymmetric shocks in a heterogeneous European Monetary Union

Schnabl, Gunther; Zemanek, Holger - 2010

In the current debate on the reasons and implications of the Greek and Irish euro crisis, the intra-European current … imbalances since the euro introduction and thereby the current European debt crisis. Based on this finding we argue that an … imbalances ; inter-temporal savings ; financial crisis ; euro crisis ; European debt crisis ; theory of optimum currency areas …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008798227

Monetary policies of large industrialised countries, emerging market credit cycles and feedback effects

Andreas, Hoffmann; Schnabl, Gunther - 2014

This paper explores the link between monetary policies of large industrial countries and international credit cycles. Based on an overinvestment framework, we show that in the prevailing asymmetric world monetary system, monetary policies of large centre countries can fuel credit booms in...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010337620

Monetary policy, vagabonding liquidity and bursting bubbles in new and emerging markets : an overinvestment view

Schnabl, Gunther (contributor); … - 2007

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003599390

Going to extremes : politics after financial crisis, 1870 - 2014

Funke, Manuel; Schularick, Moritz; Trebesch, Christoph - 2015

Partisan conflict and policy uncertainty are frequently invoked as factors contributing to slow post-crisis recoveries. Recent events in Europe provide ample evidence that the political aftershocks of financial crises can be severe. In this paper we study the political fall-out from systemic...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011349087

Betting the house

Jordà, Òscar; Schularick, Moritz; Taylor, Alan M. - 2014

Is there a link between loose monetary conditions, credit growth, house price booms, and financial instability? This paper analyzes the role of interest rates and credit in driving house price booms and busts with data spanning 140 years of modern economic history in the advanced economies. We...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010468583

The great mortgaging : housing finance, crises, and business cycles

Jordà, Òscar; Schularick, Moritz; Taylor, Alan M. - 2014

This paper unveils a new resource for macroeconomic research: a long-run dataset covering disaggregated bank credit for 17 advanced economies since 1870. The new data show that the share of mortgages on banks’ balance sheets doubled in the course of the 20th century, driven by a sharp rise of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010412763

Global uncertainty

Caggiano, Giovanni; Castelnuovo, Efrem - 2021

We estimate a novel measure of global financial uncertainty (GFU) with a dynamic factor framework that jointly models global, regional, and country-specific factors. We quantify the impact of GFU shocks on global output with a VAR analysis that achieves set-identification via a combination of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012431805

China and its Dollar exchange rate : a worldwide stabilizing influence?

McKinnon, Ronald I.; Schnabl, Gunther - 2011

We argue that criticism concerning the Chinese dollar peg is misplaced as no predictable link exists between the exchange rate and the trade balance of an international creditor economy. The stable nominal yuan/dollar rate is argued to have stabilized Chinese, East Asian and global growth....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009127709

Adverse effects of ultra-loose monetary policies on investment, growth and income distribution

Hoffmann, Andreas; Schnabl, Gunther - 2016

The paper analyses adverse investment, growth and distributional effects of ultra-loose monetary policies based on the monetary overinvestment theories of Hayek and Mises. We argue that ultra-loose monetary policies create incentives to substitute real investment by financial investment. When...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011428355

Central banking and crisis management from the perspective of Austrian business cycle theory

Schnabl, Gunther - 2016

The paper analyses the evolvement and effects of central bank crisis management since the mid 1980s based on a Hayek-Mises-Wicksell overinvestment framework. It is shown that, given that the traditional transmission mechanism between monetary policy and consumer price inflation has collapsed,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011561161