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Going to extremes : politics after financial crisis, 1870 - 2014

Funke, Manuel; Schularick, Moritz; Trebesch, Christoph - 2015

Partisan conflict and policy uncertainty are frequently invoked as factors contributing to slow post-crisis recoveries. Recent events in Europe provide ample evidence that the political aftershocks of financial crises can be severe. In this paper we study the political fall-out from systemic...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011349087

Betting the house

Jordà, Òscar; Schularick, Moritz; Taylor, Alan M. - 2014

Is there a link between loose monetary conditions, credit growth, house price booms, and financial instability? This paper analyzes the role of interest rates and credit in driving house price booms and busts with data spanning 140 years of modern economic history in the advanced economies. We...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010468583

The great mortgaging : housing finance, crises, and business cycles

Jordà, Òscar; Schularick, Moritz; Taylor, Alan M. - 2014

This paper unveils a new resource for macroeconomic research: a long-run dataset covering disaggregated bank credit for 17 advanced economies since 1870. The new data show that the share of mortgages on banks’ balance sheets doubled in the course of the 20th century, driven by a sharp rise of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010412763

The interest rate pass-through in the Euro area during the global financial crisis

Hristov, Nikolay; Hülsewig, Oliver; Wollmershäuser, Timo - 2012

of Euro-area banks to the global financial crisis. We focus on their interest-rate setting behavior in response to … explained by a significant increase in the frictions that the banks' business is subject to. -- Euro Area ; global financial …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009631665

Loan supply shocks during the financial crisis : evidence for the Euro Area

Hristov, Nikolay; Hülsewig, Oliver; Wollmershäuser, Timo - 2011

This paper employs a panel vector autoregressive model for the member countries of the Euro Area to explore the role of … crisis. However, concerning both, the timing and the magnitude of the shocks our results also indicate that the Euro Area was … characterized by a considerable degree of cross-country heterogeneity. -- Euro Area ; panel vector autoregressive model ; sign …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009012054

The interest rate pass-through in the Euro area during the global financial crisis : conference paper

Hristov, Nikolay; Hülsewig, Oliver; Wollmershäuser, Timo - 2013

of Euro area banks to the global financial crisis. We focus on their interest rate setting behavior in response to …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010338974

Central bank balance sheets : expansion and reduction since 1900

Ferguson, Niall; Schaab, Andreas; Schularick, Moritz - 2015

In this paper we study the evolution of central banks' balance sheets in 12 advanced economies since 1900. We find that balance sheet size in most developed countries has fluctuated within rather clearly defined bands relative to output. Historically, clusters of big expansions and contractions...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010528949

Sovereigns versus banks : credit, crises, and consequences

Jordà, Òscar; Schularick, Moritz; Taylor, Alan M. - 2013

Two separate narratives have emerged in the wake of the Global Financial Crisis. One speaks of private financial excess and the key role of the banking system in leveraging and deleveraging the economy. The other emphasizes the public sector balance sheet over the private and worries about the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010199757

Leaning against the wind and crisis risk

Schularick, Moritz; Ter Steege, Lucas; Ward, Felix - 2020

Can central banks defuse rising stability risks in financial booms by leaning against the wind with higher interest rates? This paper studies the state-dependent effects of monetary policy on financial stability. Based on the near-universe of advanced economy financial cycles since the 19th...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012260596

Modigliani meets minsky : inequality, debt, and financial fragility in America, 1950-2016

Bartscher, Alina K.; Kuhn, Moritz; Schularick, Moritz; … - 2020

This paper studies the secular increase in U.S. household debt and its relation to growing income inequality and financial fragility. We exploit a new household-level dataset that covers the joint distributions of debt, income, and wealth in the United States over the past seven decades. The...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012213102