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Monetary policy spillovers and emerging market credit: The impact of Federal Reserve communications on sovereign CDS spreads

Fender, Ingo; Hayo, Bernd; Neuenkirch, Matthias - 2011

In this paper, we study the effects of US target rate changes and related communications by members of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors on spreads for emerging market sovereign credit default swaps (CDS). Using GARCH models, we find that during the pre-financial crisis sub-sample (April...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010286429

Is socially responsible investing really beneficial? New empirical evidence for the US and European stock markets

Mollet, Janick Christian; Ziegler, Andreas - 2012

This paper empirically examines the theoretically ambivalent relationship between socially responsible investing (SRI) and stock performance. It extends the existing literature by considering both the US and the entire European stock markets as well as by using consistent world-wide corporate...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010294388

Tomatoes or Tomato Pickers? - Free Trade and Migration in the NAFTA Case

del Río, Amaranta Melchor; Thorwarth, Susanne - 2006

This paper examines the relationship between trade liberalisation and migration in the case of Mexico. The increasing bilateral trade between Mexico and the United States after signing the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) was supposed to stem the illegal Mexican migration flow by...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011422132

Application of the Generalized Method of Moments for Estimating Continuous-Time Models of U.S. Short-Term Interest Rates

Cserna, Balázs - 2008

We show by Monte Carlo simulations that the jackknife estimation of QUENOUILLE (1956) provides substantial bias … reduction for the estimation of short-term interest rate models applied in CHAN ET AL. (1992) - hereafter CKLS (1992). We find … that an alternative estimation based on NOWMAN (1997) does not sufficiently solve the problem of time aggregation. We …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011422171

Modeling Volatility Spillovers between the Variabilities of US Inflation and Output: the UECCC GARCH Model

Conrad, Christian; Karanasos, Menelaos - 2008

This paper employs the unrestricted extended constant conditional correlation GARCH specification proposed in Conrad and Karanasos (2008) to examine the intertemporal relationship between the uncertainties of inflation and output growth in the US. We find that inflation uncertainty effects...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011422179

Explaining Inflation Persistence by a Time-Varying Taylor Rule

Conrad, Christian; Eife, Thomas A. - 2010

In a simple New Keynesian model, we derive a closed form solution for the inflation persistence parameter as a function of the policy weights in the central bank’s Taylor rule. By estimating the time-varying weights that the FED attaches to inflation and the output gap, we show that the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011422213

Modeling the link between US inflation and output: the importance of the uncertainty channel

Conrad, Christian; Karanasos, Menelaos - 2010

This paper employs an augmented version of the UECCC GARCH specification proposed in Conrad and Karanasos (2010) which allows for lagged in-mean effects, level effects as well as asymmetries in the conditional variances. In this unified framework we examine the twelve potential intertemporal...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011422216

Explaining Inflation-Gap Persistence by a Time-Varying Taylor Rule

Conrad, Christian; Eife, Thomas A. - 2012

In a simple New Keynesian model, we derive a closed form solution for the inflation-gap persistence parameter as a function of the policy weights in the central bank’s Taylor rule. By estimating the time-varying weights that the FED attaches to inflation and the output gap, we show that the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011422228

On the Macroeconomic Determinants of the Long-Term Oil-Stock Correlation

Conrad, Christian; Loch, Karin; Rittler, Daniel - 2012

Using a modified DCC-MIDAS specification, we endogenize the long-term correlation between crude oil and stock price returns with respect to the stance of the U.S. macroeconomy. We find that variables which contain information on current and future economic activity are helpful predictors for...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011422237

Bayesian estimation of a DSGE model with inventories

Foerster, Marcel - 2011

This paper introduces inventories in an otherwise standard Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model (DSGE) of the business cycle. Firms accumulate inventories to facilitate sales, but face a cost of doing so in terms of costly storage of intermediate goods. The paper's main contribution is...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010281471