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The determinants of the euro-dollar exchange rate: synthetic fundamentals and a non-existing currency

Clostermann, Jörg; Schnatz, Bernd - 2000

At the beginning of 1999 the euro was launched as a common currency in 11 European countries. This paper addresses … empirically the medium to long-term forces driving the real euro-dollar exchange rate. Constructing a synthetic euro … determinants of the real euro-dollar exchange rate: the international real interest rate differential, relative prices in the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295690

Currency blocs in the 21st century

Fischer, Christoph - 2011

economic variables determine a given country's currency bloc affiliation. The dollar bloc differs from the euro bloc in that …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010305207

Banking and sovereign risk in the euro area

Gerlach, Stefan; Schulz, Alexander; Wolff, Guntram B. - 2010

We study the determinants of sovereign bond spreads in the euro area since the introduction of the euro. We show that …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010300391

The day-of-the-week effect revisited: An alternative testing approach

Alt, Raimund; Fortin, Ines; Weinberger, Simon - 2002

This paper questions traditional approaches for testing the day-of-the-week effect on stock returns. We propose an alternative approach based on the closure test principle introduced by Marcus, Peritz and Gabriel (1976), which has become very popular in Biometrics and Medical Statistics. We test...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010292794

Combining forecasts based on multiple encompassing tests in a macroeconomic core system

Costantini, Mauro; Kunst, Robert M. - 2009

We investigate whether and to what extent multiple encompassing tests may help determine weights for forecast averaging in a standard vector autoregressive setting. To this end we consider a new test-based procedure, which assigns non-zero weights to candidate models that add information not...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010294025

Testing mean-variance efficiency in CAPM with possibly non-gaussian errors: an exact simulation-based approach

Dufour, Jean-Marie; Beaulieu, Marie-Claude; Khalaf, Lynda - 2003

In this paper we propose exact likelihood-based mean-variance efficiency tests of the market portfolio in the context of Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM), allowing for a wide class of error distributions which include normality as a special case. These tests are developed in the framework of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295747

Testing for structural breaks in dynamic factor models

Breitung, Jörg; Eickmeier, Sandra - 2009

structural breaks in the factor loadings for the specification and estimation of factor models based on principal components and … correlated. We also apply the suggested test procedure to a US dataset used in Stock and Watson (2005) and a euro-area dataset …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298752

Monetary policy, housing booms and financial (im)balances

Eickmeier, Sandra; Hofmann, Boris - 2010

This paper uses a factor-augmented vector autoregressive model (FAVAR) estimated on U.S. data in order to analyze monetary transmission via private sector balance sheets, credit risk spreads and asset markets in an integrated setup and to explore the role of monetary policy in the three...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010300360

The effects of Dollar/Sterling exchange rate volatility of futures markets for coffee and cocoa

Jumah, Adusei; Kunst, Robert M. - 1999

The paper investigates the extent to which the dollar/sterling exchange rate fluctuations affect coffee and cocoa futures prices on the London LIFFE and the New York CSCE by means of multivariate GARCH models - under the assumption that traders in perfectly competitive markets have equal access...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010291928

Price discovery on traded inflation expectations: does the financial crisis matter?

Schulz, Alexander; Stapf, Jelena - 2009

break-even inflation rates in the euro area and the US. For maturities up to 5 years new information comes from both the … swap and the bond markets. For longer maturities the swap market provides less and less information in the euro area. In …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010298999