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Forecast rationality tests in the presence of instabilities, with applications to federal reserve and survey forecasts
Rossi, Barbara; Sekhposyan, Tatevik - 2016
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011524322
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Pitfalls in estimating asymmetric effects of energy price shocks
Kilian, Lutz; Vigfusson, Robert J. - 2009
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003848443
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Inside the crystal ball : new approaches to predicting the gasoline price at the pump
Baumeister, Christiane; Kilian, Lutz; Lee, Thomas - 2015
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011346927
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Do high-frequency financial data help forecast oil prices? : the MIDAS touch at work
Baumeister, Christiane; Guérin, Pierre; Kilian, Lutz - 2013
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010243731
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The role of oil price shocks in causing US recessions
Kilian, Lutz; Vigfusson, Robert J. - 2014
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010382022
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In-sample inference and forecasting in misspecified factor models
Carrasco, Marine; Rossi, Barbara - 2016
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011524318
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Understanding the sources of macroeconomic uncertainty
Rossi, Barbara; Selhposyan, Tatevik; Soupre, Mattheiu - 2016
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011524338
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Window selection for out-of-sample forecasting with time-varying parameters
Inoue, Atsushi; Lu, Jin; Rossi, Barbara - 2014
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010416755
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A general approach to recovering market expectations from futures prices with an application to crude oil
Baumeister, Christiane; Kilian, Lutz - 2014
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010416758
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Understanding the decline in the price of oil since June 2014
Baumeister, Christiane; Kilian, Lutz - 2015
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010495558