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The power of opinion : more evidence of a GIPS-markup in sovereign ratings during the euro crisis

Nauhaus, Steffen - 2015

This paper examines whether the Big Three credit rating agencies actually played as active a role in the Euro Crisis as …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011317827

Credit rating agency announcements and the eurozone sovereign debt crisis

Baum, Christopher F.; Karpava, Margarita; Schäfer, Dorothea - 2013

This paper studies the impact of credit rating agency (CRA) announcements on the value of the Euro and the yields of …-2012. The employed GARCH models show that CRA downgrade announcements negatively affected the value of the Euro currency and …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010206145

How stable are monetary models of the Dollar-Euro exchange rate? : a time-varying coefficient approach

Beckmann, Joscha; Belke, Ansgar; Kühl, Michael - 2009

exchange rate to one of the politically most important exchange rates, the exchange rate of the US dollar vis-à-vis the euro … (the DM). We use monthly data from 1975:01 to 2007:12. Applying a novel time-varying coefficient estimation approach, we …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003898577

Volatility patterns of CDS, bond and stock markets before and during the financial crisis : evidence from major financial institutions

Belke, Ansgar; Gokus, Christian - 2011

This study is motivated by the development of credit-related instruments and signals of stock price movements of large banks during the recent financial crisis. What is common to most of the empirical studies in this field is that they concentrate on modeling the conditional mean. However,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009347974

Long memory and volatility dynamics in the US dollar exchange rate

Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Gil-Alaña, Luis A. - 2010

This paper focuses on nominal exchange rates, specifically the US dollar rate vis-à-vis the Euro and the Japanese Yen … dollar rate vis-à-vis the Euro and the Japanese Yen respectively. -- Fractional integration ; long memory ; exchange rates …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003931070

Long memory and fractional integration in high frequency data on the US dollar/British pound spot exchange rate

Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Gil-Alaña, Luis A. - 2013

This paper analyses the long-memory properties of a high-frequency financial time series dataset. It focuses on temporal aggregation and other features of the data, and how they might affect the degree of dependence of the series. Fractional integration or I(d) models are estimated with a...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009735715

Leading indicators of Euroland business cycles

Fritsche, Ulrich; Marklein, Felix - 2001

The introduction of a common monetary policy in eleven European countries increased the need for leading indicators for that area. A reliable leading indicator should possess the following properties: (1) The movements in the indicator series should resemble those in the business cycle reference...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011433997

Fractional integration and cointegration in US financial time series data

Caporale, Guglielmo Maria; Gil-Alaña, Luis A. - 2011

This paper examines several US monthly financial time series data using fractional integration and cointegration techniques. The univariate analysis based on fractional integration aims to determine whether the series are I(1) (in which case markets might be efficient) or alternatively I(d) with...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009426696

Is euro area money demand (still) stable? : cointegrated VAR versus single equation techniques

Belke, Ansgar; Czudaj, Robert - 2010

In this paper we present an empirically stable euro area money demand model. Using a sample period until 2009:2 shows … stability of the euro area money demand function. We also compare single equation methods like the ARDL approach, FM-OLS, CCR … applied for this purpose in previous studies. -- ARDL model ; cointegration ; euro area ; financial crisis ; money demand …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003939738

(How) do the ECB and the Fed react to financial market uncertainty? : the Taylor rule in times of crisis

Belke, Ansgar; Klose, Jens - 2010

We assess differences that emerge in Taylor rule estimations for the Fed and the ECB before and after the start of the subprime crisis. For this purpose, we apply an explicit estimate of the equilibrium real interest rate and of potential output in order to account for variations within these...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003931051