Showing 1 - 10 of 142
spreads during the crisis, not only for euro area countries but globally. By contrast, regional spill overs and contagion have … been less important, including for euro area countries. The paper also finds evidence for herding contagion – sharp …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013061742
A striking and unexpected feature of the financial crisis has been the sharp appreciation of the US dollar against virtually all currencies globally. The paper finds that negative US-specific macroeconomic shocks during the crisis have triggered a significant strengthening of the US dollar,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605106
We study market perception of sovereign credit risk in the euro area during the financial crisis. In our analysis we … euro area countries. In our empirical results the estimated LGDs perceived by financial markets stay comfortably below 40 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013052936
In this paper we propose a composite indicator that measures multi-dimensional sovereign bond market stress in the euro … area as a whole and in individual euro area member states. It integrates measures of credit risk, volatility and liquidity … eleven euro area member states and also present four options of a SovCISS for the entire monetary union. In addition, we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013315399
Since the intensification of the crisis in September 2008, all euro area long-term government bond yields relative to … euro area spreads, including those for Austria, Finland and the Netherlands. Country-specific credit ratings have played a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013111942
The sovereign debt crisis in the euro area has increased the interest in early warning indicators, with the aim to …, especially for the euro area. We show that a country specific approach could strongly increase the signalling power of early …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013049852
We investigate asset returns around banking crises in 44 advanced and emerging economies from 1960 to 2018. In contrast to the view that buying assets during banking crises is a profitable long-run strategy, we find returns of equity and other asset classes generally underperform after banking...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013227328
This paper investigates whether, and if so why, the recent ‘Great Recession' was more severe in unofficially dollarised/euroised economies than in other economies. To that end, the paper builds on a novel dataset on unofficial dollarisation/euroisation to test whether the latter was a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013100826
We develop a high-dimensional and partly nonlinear non-Gaussian dynamic factor model for the decomposition of systematic default risk conditions into a set of latent components that correspond with macroeconomic/financial, default-specific (frailty), and industry-specific effects. Discrete...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013102101
We use a unique dataset of ratings for euro area corporate loans from commercial banks’ internal rating-based (IRBs … estimation of risk by banks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013217542