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Estimating the border effect: Some new evidence

Gopinath, Gita; Gourinchas, Pierre-Olivier; Hsieh, Chang-Tai - 2009

To what extent do national borders and national currencies impose costs that segment markets across countries? To answer this question the authors use a dataset with product-level retail prices and wholesale costs for a large grocery chain with stores in the United States and Canada. They...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010280948

Uncertainty shocks in a model of effective demand

Basu, Susanto; Bundick, Brent - 2012

This paper examines the role of uncertainty shocks in a one-sector, representative-agent dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model. When prices are flexible, uncertainty shocks are not capable of producing business cycle comovements among key macro variables. With countercyclical markups...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010343352

After the Bust: The Outlook for Macroeconomics & Macroeconomic Policy

Palley, Thomas I. - 2008

The current economic crisis offers an historic opportunity for change. The depth of the crisis means there will likely be a policy turn in a Keynesian and even Post Keynesian direction. However, there are profound political, intellectual and sociological obstacles blocking change in underlying...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010460471

The European Financial and Economic Crisis: Alternative Solutions from a (Post-) Keynesian Perspective

Hein, Eckhard; Truger, Achim; van Treeck, Till - 2011

The financial and economic crisis in the Euro area has revealed a number of important flaws in the economic policy … euro, are not sustainable; and this is more serious in a period of crisis in particular. On the other hand, it has become … clear that the Euro area suffers from a serious lack of institutions and policy concepts, which will not allow coping with …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010460503

Did inequality cause the U.S. financial crisis?

van Treeck, Till - 2012

In his widely discussed book "Fault Lines" (2010), Raghuram Rajan argues that many U.S. consumers have reacted to the decline in their relative permanent incomes since the early 1980s by reducing saving and increasing debt. This has temporarily kept private consumption and thus aggregate demand...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010460517

Real-time Markov Switching and Leading Indicators in Times of the Financial Crisis

Theobald, Thomas - 2012

This paper uses several macroeconomic and financial indicators within a Markov Switching (MS) framework to predict the turning points of the business cycle. The presented model is applied to monthly German real-time data covering the recession and the recovery after the financial crisis. We show...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010460521

Distribution, aggregate demand and productivity growth - theory and empirical results for six OECD countries based on a Post-Kaleckian model

Hein, Eckhard; Tarassow, Artur - 2008

Empirical research based on the Bhaduri/Marglin-variant of the Kaleckian model has recently shown that aggregate demand in many medium-sized and large open economies tends to be wage-led in the medium to long run, even in a period of increasing globalisation. In this paper we extend this type of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010460467

Liquidity constraints versus loss aversion in household consumption: a simple reconciliation

van Treeck, Till - 2010

Various deviations from the Permanent Income consumption model with rational expectations have been discussed in the literature, including loss aversion and liquidity constraints. In the existing literature, these two types of consumption asymmetry are usually considered as mutually exclusive....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010460494

The Great Moderation and the Decoupling of Monetary Policy from Long-Term Rates in the U.S. and Germany

Greenwood-Nimmo, Matthew; Shin, Yongcheol; van Treeck, Till - 2010

We apply the asymmetric ARDL model advanced by Shin, Yu and Greenwood-Nimmo (2009) to the analysis of the patterns of pass-through from policy-controlled interest rates to a variety of longer-term rates in the U.S. and Germany. Our results reveal three main phenomena. Firstly, while the e®ect...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010460498

Shifting Preferences at the Fed: Evidence from Rolling Dynamic Multipliers and Impulse Response Analysis

Greenwood-Nimmo, Matthew; Shin, Yongcheol - 2010

attribute these mixed estimation results to a raft of empirical issues from which many existing studies suffer, including bias … the operation of a Taylor-type rule, albeit with considerable inertia. We argue that estimation across rolling windows may … estimation provides substantial evidence that the inflation and output preferences of the Fed have varied through time …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010460499