Showing 1 - 9 of 9
The current economic crisis offers an historic opportunity for change. The depth of the crisis means there will likely be a policy turn in a Keynesian and even Post Keynesian direction. However, there are profound political, intellectual and sociological obstacles blocking change in underlying...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010460471
The financial and economic crisis in the Euro area has revealed a number of important flaws in the economic policy … euro, are not sustainable; and this is more serious in a period of crisis in particular. On the other hand, it has become … clear that the Euro area suffers from a serious lack of institutions and policy concepts, which will not allow coping with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010460503
In his widely discussed book "Fault Lines" (2010), Raghuram Rajan argues that many U.S. consumers have reacted to the decline in their relative permanent incomes since the early 1980s by reducing saving and increasing debt. This has temporarily kept private consumption and thus aggregate demand...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010460517
This paper uses several macroeconomic and financial indicators within a Markov Switching (MS) framework to predict the turning points of the business cycle. The presented model is applied to monthly German real-time data covering the recession and the recovery after the financial crisis. We show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010460521
Empirical research based on the Bhaduri/Marglin-variant of the Kaleckian model has recently shown that aggregate demand in many medium-sized and large open economies tends to be wage-led in the medium to long run, even in a period of increasing globalisation. In this paper we extend this type of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010460467
Various deviations from the Permanent Income consumption model with rational expectations have been discussed in the literature, including loss aversion and liquidity constraints. In the existing literature, these two types of consumption asymmetry are usually considered as mutually exclusive....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010460494
We apply the asymmetric ARDL model advanced by Shin, Yu and Greenwood-Nimmo (2009) to the analysis of the patterns of pass-through from policy-controlled interest rates to a variety of longer-term rates in the U.S. and Germany. Our results reveal three main phenomena. Firstly, while the e®ect...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010460498
attribute these mixed estimation results to a raft of empirical issues from which many existing studies suffer, including bias … the operation of a Taylor-type rule, albeit with considerable inertia. We argue that estimation across rolling windows may … estimation provides substantial evidence that the inflation and output preferences of the Fed have varied through time …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010460499
The topic of this paper is the estimation uncertainty of the Stock-Watsonand Gonzalo-Granger permanent …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010460507