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This paper uses a Markov regime-switching model to assess the vulnerability of a series of Central and Eastern European countries (i.e. Czech Republic, Hungary, Slovak Republic) and two CIS countries (i.e., Russia and Ukraine) during the period 19932004. For the new EU member states in Central...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003277175
This paper analyzes the factors underlying the weakness of the euro. For this purpose, the framework advocated by … sample from 1980 to 2000. However, historical decompositions reveal that fluctuations since the introduction of the euro in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011473872
When nontraded goods prices are accounted for consistently and genuine stock data on bilateral foreign asset holdings is employed, a modified sticky-price exchange rate model by far outperforms the benchmark random walk-model in empirically forecasting the D-mark/dollar parity out of sample....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011490699
regression coefficients as homogeneous or heterogeneous functions of transition variables. In the estimation process, however … estimation time, rendering their application less appealing. This paper proposes a Lagrange multiplier test indicating whether …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011749886
We test a New Economic Geography (NEG) model for U.S. counties, employing a new strategy that allows us to bring the full NEG model to the data, and to assess selected elements of this model separately. We find no empirical support for the full NEG model. Regional wages in the U.S. do not...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003956984
Although it is well known that Markov process theory, frequently applied in the literature on income convergence, imposes some very restrictive assumptions upon the data generating process, these assumptions have generally been taken for granted so far. The present paper proposes, resp. recalls...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011495597
also conduct an estimation of a classical VAR using maximum likelihood estimation and a traditional BVAR. An out …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008779982
Night lights could be a valuable proxy of economic activity at the subnational level when GDP data are lacking or of poor quality. Supplementing Henderson et al.’s (2012) analysis at the national level, we assess the stability of the elasticity of GDP with regard to night lights across regions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010226865
In this paper, we analyze the network properties of the Italian e-MID data based on overnight loans during the period 1999-2010. We show that the networks appear to be random at the daily level, but contain significant non-random structure for longer aggregation periods. In this sense, the daily...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009570515
variables. Therefore, I derive a financial market stress indicator (FMSI) for Germany and the Euro Area using a dynamic … about 30 percent in the Euro Area. I show that the inclusion of the indicator significantly improves out …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009382999