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Was kostet die Krise? Mittelfristige Wachstumsperspektiven in Deutschland, 2010 - 2014

Buchen, Teresa; Carstensen, Kai; Henzel, Steffen; … - 2010

2009 ist eine Diskussion darüber entbrannt, inwieweit die derzeitige Finanzkrise Einfluss auf die mittelfristigen … Zeitreihenmodellen abgeschätzt. Die Ergebnisse deuten darauf hin, dass das Niveau des Produktionspotenzials aufgrund der Finanzkrise … Euro ableiten. Demgegenüber dürfte die Trendwachstumsrate in den kommenden Jahren bei 1,3 % liegen und damit nur …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010427571

Political Booms, Financial Crises

Herrera, Helios; Ordoñez, Guillermo; Trebesch, Christoph - 2014

We show that political booms, measured by the rise in governments’ popularity, predict financial crises above and beyond other better-known early warning indicators, such as credit booms. This predictive power, however, only holds in emerging economies. We show that governments in emerging...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010427705

How to deal with the US financial crisis at no cost to the taxpayer

Hillinger, Claude - 2008

I discuss briefly the crisis itself and then give some criteria that should be used in evaluating any policy proposed o deal with it. This is followed by a critical discussion of some of the policy measures that have been suggested. Finally, I give a list of proposals, that I believe best...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010427521

Predictive Ability of Business Cycle Indicators under Test: A Case Study for the Euro Area Industrial Production

Carstensen, Kai; Wohlrabe, Klaus; Ziegler, Christina - 2010

In this paper we assess the information content of seven widely cited early indicators for the euro area with respect … indicator, the OECD composite leading indicator, and the FAZ-Euro indicator published by the Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung. If …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010427576

Three Liquidity Crises in Retrospective: Implications for Central Banking Today

Sauer, Stephan - 2007

Liquidity problems lie at the heart of crises on financial markets as demonstrated in this paper by detailed descriptions of the stock market crash in 1987, the LTCM-crisis in 1998 and the financial market consequences of 11 September 2001. The events also demonstrate that modern central banks,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010427504

Inflation expectations from index-linked bonds: Correcting for liquidity and inflation risk premia

Kajuth, Florian; Watzka, Sebastian - 2008

-linked bonds using a state-space estimation. Our results show that once one accounts for time-varying liquidity and inflation risk …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010427531

A factor analysis approch to measuring European loan and bond market integration

Wagenvoort, Rien; Ebner, André; Morgese Borys, Magdalena - 2009

converging for the non-financial corporate sector across the euro area. Whilst we find evidence for complete bond market …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010427552