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Will the Euro Eventually Surpass the Dollar as Leading International Reserve Currency?

Chinn, Menzie David - 2012

currency? Unlike ten years ago, there now exists a credible competitor: the euro. This paper econometrically estimates … (we estimate a weight on the preceding year's currency share around .9). The advent of the euro interrupts the continuity … equation correctly predicts a (small) narrowing in the gap between the dollar and euro over the period 1999-2004. Whether the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013105149

The Euro May Over the Next 15 Years Surpass the Dollar as Leading International Currency

Chinn, Menzie David - 2010

The euro has arisen as a credible eventual competitor to the dollar as leading international currency, much as the … euro over the period 1999-2007. This paper updates calculations regarding possible scenarios for the future. We exclude the … the de facto financial center of the euro, more so than Frankfurt. We also assume that the dollar continues in the future …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012759417

The Dollar versus the Euro as International Reserve Currencies

Chinn, Menzie David; Frankel, Jeffrey A.; Itō, Hiro - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2024

currencies are less successfully explained. It may be that the results from currency-by-currency estimation are impaired by …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014528426

Unemployment in the Great Recession : A Comparison of Germany, Canada and the United States

Hoffmann, Florian - 2014

This paper investigates the potential reasons for the surprisingly different labor market performance of the United States, Canada, Germany, and several other OECD countries during and after the Great Recession of 2008-09. Unemployment rates did not change substantially in Germany, increased and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013043619

Unemployment in the Great Recession : A Comparison of Germany, Canada and the United States

Hoffmann, Florian - 2014

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012457972

Do Central Banks Rebalance Their Currency Shares?

Chinn, Menzie David; Itō, Hiro; McCauley, Robert N. - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2021

Do central banks rebalance their currency shares? The answer matters because the dollar's predominant role in large official reserve holdings means that widespread rebalancing requires central banks to buy (sell) a depreciating (appreciating) dollar, stabilising its value against other major...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012616637

Doomed to Deficits? Aggregate U.S. Trade Flows Re-Examined

Chinn, Menzie David - 2021

This paper examines the stability of import and export demand functions for the United States over the 1975q1-2001q2 period. Using the Johansen maximum likelihood approach, an export demand function is readily identified. In contrast, there appears to be a structural break in the import demand...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013220385

Monetary Policy in Japan, Germany and the United States : Does One Size Fit All?

Chinn, Menzie David; Dooley, Michael P. - 2021

We study the post-war evidence for Japan to see if the same specification for both the economy and the monetary policy rule is useful for understanding Japan's economy and monetary policy. A recurrent theme in the literature on Japanese monetary policy is that there are significant differences...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013245712

Labor Market Institutions and the Distribution of Wages : The Role of Spillover Effects

Fortin, Nicole Marie; Lemieux, Thomas; Lloyd, Neil - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2021

This paper examines the role of spillover effects of minimum wages and threat effects of unionization in changes in wage inequality in the United States between 1979 and 2017. A distribution regression framework is introduced to estimate both types of spillover effects. Threat effects double the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012482593