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Have financial markets become more informative?

Bai, Jennie; Philippon, Thomas; Savov, Alexi - 2012

The finance industry has grown. Financial markets have become more liquid. Information technology has improved. But have prices become more informative? Using stock and bond prices to forecast earnings, we find that the information content of market prices has not increased since 1960. The...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009657611

Financial Globalization, Financial Crises and Contagion

Mendoza, Enrique G. - 2009

Two observations suggest that financial globalization played an important role in the recent financial crisis. First, more than half of the rise in net borrowing of the U.S. nonfinancial sectors since the mid 1980s has been financed by foreign lending. Second, the collapse of the U.S. housing...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463217

Balance Sheet Effects on Monetary and Financial Spillovers : The East Asian Crisis Plus 20

Aizenman, Joshua - 2016

We study how the financial conditions in the Center Economies [the U.S., Japan, and the Euro area] impact other … euro) makes the response of a financial variable such as the REER and exchange market pressure in the PHs more sensitive to … a change in key variables in the U.S. (or the euro area) such as policy interest rates and the REER. While having more …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012455943

U.S. Banks, Crises, and Bailouts : From Mexico to LTCM

Stulz, Rene M. - 2000

This paper investigates the impact on bank stock prices of emerging market currency crises and bailouts. The stock market distinguishes between banks with exposure to a crisis country and other banks. In general, banks with exposures to a crisis country are affected adversely by currency events...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471245

The Unholy Trinity of Financial Contagion

Kaminsky, Graciela L. - 2003

Over the last 20 years, some financial events, such as devaluations or defaults, have triggered an immediate adverse chain reaction in other countries -- which we call fast and furious contagion. Yet, on other occasions, similar events have failed to trigger any immediate international reaction....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468633

When is there a strong transfer risk from the sovereigns to the corporates?

Bai, Jennie; Wei, Shang-jin - 2012

When a sovereign faces the risk of debt default, it may be tempted to expropriate the private sector. This may be one reason why international investment in private companies has to take into account the sovereign risk. But the likelihood of sovereign risk transferring to corporates and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009657607

When Is There a Strong Transfer Risk from the Sovereigns to the Corporates? Property Rights Gaps and CDS Spreads

Bai, Jennie - 2012

When a sovereign faces the risk of debt default, it may be tempted to expropriate the private sector. This may be one reason for why international investment in private companies has to take into account the sovereign risk. But the likelihood of a transfer from the sovereign risk to corporate...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012460062

One-sided test for an unknown breakpoint : theory, computation, and application to monetary theory

Estrella, Arturo (contributor); … - 2005

The econometrics literature contains a variety of two-sided tests for unknown breakpoints in time-series models with one or more parameters. This paper derives an analogous one-sided test that takes into account the direction of the change for a single parameter. In particular, we propose a sup...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003226093

Identification of Non-Additive Fixed Effects Models : Is the Return to Teacher Quality Homogeneous?

Hahn, Jinyong; Singleton, John D.; Yildiz, Neşe - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023

additively and interacts with treatment variables. We present identification and estimation methods for parameters of interest in …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014322772

Transmission of the U.S. Subprime Crisis to Emerging Markets : Evidence on the Decoupling-Recoupling Hypothesis

Dooley, Michael P. - 2009

We find that emerging markets appeared to be somewhat insulated from developments in U.S. financial markets from early 2007 to summer 2008. From that point on, however, emerging markets responded very strongly to the deteriorating situation in the U.S. financial system and real economy. Policy...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463530

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