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The Impact of Trade Liberalization on the Return to Education in Vietnam: Wage versus Employment Effect

Oostendorp, Remco H.; Quang, Doan Hong - 2011

Several studies have identified the impact of trade liberalization in developing countries on the return to education within a Mincerian framework through a difference-in-difference estimator or with industry-level measures of trade openness. These studies have typically estimated the return to...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325919

Systemic Risk Diagnostics

Schwaab, Bernd; Lucas, Andre; Koopman, Siem Jan - 2010

A macro-prudential policy maker can manage risks to financial stability only if currentand future risks can be reliably assessed. We propose a novel framework to assessfinancial system risk. Using a dynamic factor framework based on state-space methods, we model latent macro-financial and credit...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325790

Identifying the Weights in Exchange Market Pressure

Klaassen, Franc - 2011

Exchange market pressure (EMP) measures the pressure on a currency to depreciate. It adds to the actual depreciation a weighted combination of policy instruments used to ward off depreciation, such as interest rates and foreign exchange interventions, where the weights are their effectiveness....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325742

Detecting Serial Dependence in Tail Events

Diks, Cees - 2002

A test for serial independence is proposed which is related to the BDS test but focuses on tail event probabilities rather than probabilities near the center of the distribution. The motivation behind this approach is to obtain a test more suitable for detecting structure in the tails, such as...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324850

Has the Euro increased Trade?

Bun, Maurice J.G.; Klaassen, Franc J.G.M. - 2002

A major economic reason for the introduction of the euro was its supposedly positive effect on intra-EMU trade …. Existing studies examine this suspicion indirectly using non-EMU data and report ambiguous results. We estimate the euro … euro has significantly increased trade, with an effect of 4% in the first year and cumulating to around 40% in the long …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325067

Washington meets Wall Street: A Closer Examination of the Presidential Cycle Puzzle

Kraeussl, R.; Lucas, A.; Rijsbergen, D.; van der Sluis, P.J. - 2008

This paper tests the policitcal dimensions of the presidential cycle effect in U.S. financial markets. The presidential cycle effect states that average stock market returns are significantly higher in the last two years compared to the first two years of a presidential term. We confirm the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010325930

Asset Market Linkages in Crisis Periods

Hartmann, P.; Straetmans, S.; de Vries, C.G. - 2001

We characterize asset return linkages during periods of stress by an extremal dependence measure. Contrary to correlation analysis, this nonparametric measure is not predisposed toward the normal distribution and can allow for nonlinear relationships. Our estimates for the G-5 countries suggest...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324996

Profiteering from the Dot-com Bubble, Sub-Prime Crisis and Asian Financial Crisis

McAleer, Michael; Suen, John; Wong, Wing Keung - 2013

This paper explores the characteristics associated with the formation of bubbles that occurred in the Hong Kong stock market in 1997 and 2007, as well as the 2000 dot-com bubble of Nasdaq. It examines the profitability of Technical Analysis (TA) strategies generating buy and sell signals with...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326340

Financial Dependence Analysis: Applications of Vine Copulae

Allen, David E.; Ashraf, Mohammad A.; McAleer, Michael; … - 2013

This paper features the application of a novel and recently developed method of statistical and mathematical analysis to the assessment of financial risk: namely Regular Vine copulas. Dependence modeling using copulas is a popular tool in financial applications, but is usually applied to pairs...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326548

Aggregation Bias in Elasticities of Substitution and the Minimum Wage Paradox

Teulings, Coen N. - 1998

the bias. Estimation results for the United States show elasticities of complementarity to be underestimated by up to a …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010324516