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This paper seeks to draw lessons from the IMF’s experience in handling financial crises around the globe over the past ten years that are relevant to the challenges faced by countries in Latin America, especially in the wake of the recent crisis in Argentina. Experience suggests that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005824823
estimation finds these economic indicators to be significant for emerging market countries during the Mexican, Asian, and Russian …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005769104
We present a stylized framework which encompasses a variety of "balance sheet approaches" to currency crises that have been suggested in the literature, and analyze their policy implications. The common theme is that currency and maturity mismatches in private sector balance sheets constrain the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005599651
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against the euro relative to the U.S. dollar, while the opposite is true for the zloty, apparently related to earlier … inflation rates. By contrast, the currency options market shows enhanced information content of both currencies against the euro …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005826189
We test the hypothesis of a link between exchange rate policy and sovereign bonds. We analyze the effect of exchange rate policies on supply and credit spreads of sovereign bonds issued by developing countries. An exchange rate policy is captured by the de facto exchange rate regime and the real...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005599729
Did real overvaluation contribute to the 1991 currency crisis in India? This paper seeks an answer by constructing the equilibrium real exchange rate, using an error correction model and a technique developed by Gonzalo and Granger (1995). The results are affirmative and the evidence indicates...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005263897
Defending a government’s exchange-rate commitment with active interest rate policy is not an option in the Krugman-Flood-Garber (KFG) model of speculative attacks. In that model, the interest rate is the passive reflection of currency-depreciation expectations. In this paper we show how to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005264210