The banking and currency crises of the last two decades inflictedsubstantial financial, economic, and social damage on thecountries in which they originated. In this work, the efficiencyof early warning indicators for these disastrous economic eventsis evaluated. An analysis of the traditional...

A striking and unexpected feature of the financial crisis has been the sharpappreciation of the US dollar against virtually all currencies globally. The paper findsthat negative US-specific macroeconomic shocks during the crisis have triggered asignificant strengthening of the US dollar, rather...

Among the policy responses to the global financial crisis, the international provision of US dollars via central bank swap lines stands out. This paper studies the build-up of stresses on banks' balance sheets that led to this coordinated policy response. Using the BIS international banking...

The objective of this paper is to implement a prototype of a currency crisis modelas part of an early warning system framework for Uganda. The financial systemsof developing countries like Uganda are especially vulnerable and therefore robustinstruments to predict crises are needed. Our model is...

The report describes the current developments of the German market for Non Performing Loans/Distressed Debt as it is influenced by the financial crisis/credit crunch. Furthermore the sale of (small and medium sized) real estate portfolios since summer 2007 is analysed in more detail.

A large part of the current debate on US stock price behaviorconcentrates on the question of whether stock prices are driven byfundamentals or by non-fundamental factors(...)

Noch ist die Reichweite der Finanzmarktkrise schwer zu bestimmen. Die Erschütterungen, die von ihr in den Banketagen und zunehmend auch in der Realwirtschaft hervorgerufen werden, lassen viele an die Weltwirtschaftskrise der Jahre nach 1929 denken.Aber auch denjenigen, die derartige historische...

Wie in den dreißiger Jahren des vergangenen Jahrhunderts wird als Reaktion auf die von einem instabilen Finanzsystem ausgelöste Wirtschaftskrise die Forderung erhoben, den Finanzsektor stärker zu regulieren und zu beaufsichtigen. Angeblich droht eine Destabilisierung der gesamten Wirtschaft,...