A striking and unexpected feature of the financial crisis has been the sharpappreciation of the US dollar against virtually all currencies globally. The paper findsthat negative US-specific macroeconomic shocks during the crisis have triggered asignificant strengthening of the US dollar, rather...

A large part of the current debate on US stock price behaviorconcentrates on the question of whether stock prices are driven byfundamentals or by non-fundamental factors(...)

[...]In this study, we use recent historical evidence toexplore one dimension of the broad relationship betweenmarket returns and mutual fund flows: the effect of shorttermmarket returns on mutual fund flows. Research onthis issue has already confirmed high correlations betweenmarket returns and...

Why was risk management not effective in preventing financial institutions from bubbles in the past? 1. Because the emerge of the bubbles were not recognized at all. 2. Because risk managers did not have sufficient authority to stop the nonsense....

Die globale Finanzmarktkrise triffteine wachsende Weltwirtschaft.Realwirtschaftlich, von Produktionund Bedarf her, spricht wenig gegenweiteres Wachstum. Nur die Kapriolender Vermögensmärkte gefährdenden Wohlstand. Hier muss die Politikeingreifen, um eine Rezession zuvermeiden. Es geht also um...

Die Stabilität des Finanzsystemsist gegenwärtig durch spekulativeÜbertreibungen auf den Kredit- undVerbriefungsmärkten gefährdet. Damitgehen erhebliche Belastungen für diereale Wirtschaftsentwicklung einher.Mehr Transparenz und Basel II werdendas zentrale Problem, das Herdenverhaltenauf...

This paper shows that preferences alone cannot explain the patterns reported in the literature.

This paper proposes a novel methodology, based on the Common Principal Component analysis, allowing one to estimate the factors driving the term structure of interest rates, in the presence of time-varying covariance structure.

Many economic and econometric applications require the integration of functions lacking a closed form antiderivative, which is therefore a task that can only be solved by numerical methods. We propose a new family of probability densities that can be used as substitutes and have the property of...