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Zur Qualität professioneller Wechselkursprognosen
Schmidt, Robert - 2003
Die Berücksichtigung der zukünftigen Entwicklung des Wechselkurses ist sowohl für internationale Unternehmen als auch für international tätige Investoren unabdingbar. Allerdings ist die Erstellung von Wechsel- kursprognosen schwierig, da bis zum heutigen Zeitpunkt kein allgemein anerkanntes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010305747
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What explains global exchange rate movements during the financial crisis?
Fratzscher, Marcel - 2009
A striking and unexpected feature of the financial crisis has been the sharp appreciation of the US dollar against virtually all currencies globally. The paper finds that negative US-specific macroeconomic shocks during the crisis have triggered a significant strengthening of the US dollar,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605106
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Mehr Kompetenzen für den EU-Währungskommissar – mehr Stabilität für die Währungsunion?
Straubhaar, Thomas - In: ifo Schnelldienst 65 (2012) 22, pp. 3-6
Nach einem Vorschlag von Wolfgang Schäuble soll der EU-Währungskommissar stärker Einfluss auf die Haushalte der Euromitgliedstaaten nehmen. Ein politisch unabhängiger, ausschließlich auf die Haushaltspolitik fokussierter EU-Währungskommissar könnte nach Ansicht von Thomas Straubhaar,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011693420
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Banking and debt crisis in Europe: The dangerous liaisons?
Candelon, Bertrand; Palm, Franz - 2010
The potential mutation of the Sub-Prime banking crisis into a sovereign debt one in Euro area countries is investigated … the end 2009 the probability of observing a Euro area country defaulting is less likely than six month before … self-fulfilling, sovereign debt or currency crises in Euro area in the future. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010270470
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Chinese monetary policy and the dollar peg
Reade, J. James; Volz, Ulrich - 2010
This paper investigates to what extent Chinese monetary policy is constrained by the dollar peg. To this end, we use a cointegration framework to examine whether Chinese interest rates are driven by the Fed's policy. In a second step, we estimate a monetary model for China, in which we include...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010303913
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The determinants of the euro-dollar exchange rate: synthetic fundamentals and a non-existing currency
Clostermann, Jörg; Schnatz, Bernd - 2000
At the beginning of 1999 the euro was launched as a common currency in 11 European countries. This paper addresses … empirically the medium to long-term forces driving the real euro-dollar exchange rate. Constructing a synthetic euro … determinants of the real euro-dollar exchange rate: the international real interest rate differential, relative prices in the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010295690
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How Stable Are Monetary Models of the Dollar-Euro Exchange Rate? - A Time-varying Coefficient Approach
Beckmann, Joscha; Belke, Ansgar; Kühl, Michael - 2009
exchange rate to one of the politically most important exchange rates, the exchange rate of the US dollar vis-à-vis the euro … (the DM). We use monthly data from 1975:01 to 2007:12. Applying a novel time-varying coefficient estimation approach, we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010265822
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How stable are monetary models of the Dollar-Euro exchange rate? A time-varying coefficient approach
Beckmann, Joscha; Belke, Ansgar; Kühl, Michael - 2009
exchange rate to one of the politically most important exchange rates, the exchange rate of the US dollar vis-à-vis the euro … (the DM). We use monthly data from 1975:01 to 2007:12. Applying a novel time-varying coefficient estimation approach, we …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010271135
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The Euro/Dollar exchange rate: Chaotic or non-chaotic?
Federici, Daniela; Gandolfo, Giancarlo - 2011
econometrically estimated in continuous time with Euro/Dollar data and examined for the possible presence of chaotic motion. Our …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010274880
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Uncovered interest parity at distant horizons: evidence on emerging economies & nonlinearities
Mehl, Arnaud; Cappiello, Lorenzo - 2007
This paper tests for uncovered interest parity (UIP) at distant horizons for the US and its main trading partners, including both mature and emerging market economies, also exploring the existence of nonlinearities. At long and medium horizons, it finds support in favour of the standard, linear,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011604847