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Are Leading Indicators of Financial Crises Useful for Assessing Country Vulnerability? Evidence from the 2008-09 Global Crisis

Frankel, Jeffrey A. - 2010

This paper investigates whether leading indicators can help explain the cross-country incidence of the 2008-09 financial crisis. Rather than looking for indicators with specific relevance to the current crisis, the selection of variables is driven by an extensive review of more than eighty...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462605

The Euro May Over the Next 15 Years Surpass the Dollar as Leading International Currency

Chinn, Menzie D. - 2008

The euro has arisen as a credible eventual competitor to the dollar as leading international currency, much as the … euro over the period 1999-2007. This paper updates calculations regarding possible scenarios for the future. We exclude the … the de facto financial center of the euro, more so than Frankfurt. We also assume that the dollar continues in the future …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464738

The Dollar versus the Euro as International Reserve Currencies

Chinn, Menzie David; Frankel, Jeffrey A.; Itō, Hiro - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2024

currencies are less successfully explained. It may be that the results from currency-by-currency estimation are impaired by …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014528426

Does openness to trade make countries more vulnerable to sudden stops, or less? : using gravity to establish causality

Cavallo, Eduardo A.; Frankel, Jeffrey A. - In: Journal of international money and finance 27 (2008) 8, pp. 1430-1452

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003804930

Does Openness to Trade Make Countries More Vulnerable to Sudden Stops, Or Less? Using Gravity to Establish Causality

Frankel, Jeffrey A. - 2004

Openness to trade is one factor that has been identified as determining whether a country is prone to sudden stops in capital inflow, currency crashes, or severe recessions. Some believe that openness raises vulnerability to foreign shocks, while others believe that it makes adjustment to crises...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012467730

Effects of speculation and interest rates in a “carry trade” model of commodity prices

Frankel, Jeffrey A. - In: Journal of international money and finance 42 (2014), pp. 88-112

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010371827

An Elaborated Global Climate Policy Architecture : Specific Formulas and Emission Targets for All Countries in All Decades

Frankel, Jeffrey A. - 2009

This paper analyzes a detailed plan to set quantitative national limits on emissions of greenhouse gases, following along the lines of the Kyoto Protocol. It is designed to fill in the most serious gaps: the absence of targets extending as far as 2100, the absence of participation by the United...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463771

Estimating the Effect of Currency Unions on Trade and Output

Frankel, Jeffrey A. - 2000

Gravity-based cross-sectional evidence indicates that currency unions stimulate trade; cross-sectional evidence indicates that trade stimulates output. This paper estimates the effect that currency union has, via trade, on output per capita. We use economic and geographic data for over 200...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012470886

A Survey of Empirical Research on Nominal Exchange Rates

Frankel, Jeffrey A. - 1994

We survey the empirical literature on floating nominal exchange rates over the past decade. Exchange rates are difficult to forecast at short- to medium-term horizons. There is a bit of explanatory power to monetary models such as the Dornbusch 'overshooting' theory, in the form of reaction to...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012474046

Effects of Speculation and Interest Rates in a "Carry Trade" Model of Commodity Prices

Frankel, Jeffrey A. - 2013

The paper presents and estimates a model of the prices of oil and other storable commodities, a model that can be characterized as reflecting the carry trade. It focuses on speculative factors, here defined as the trade-off between interest rates on the one hand and market participants'...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012459199