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Reinhart, Carmen M. - 2010

Newly developed long historical time series on public debt, along with modern data on external debts, allow a deeper analysis of the cycles underlying serial debt and banking crises. The evidence confirms a strong link between banking crises and sovereign default across the economic history of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012462855

Rethinking Exchange Rate Regimes

Ilzetzki, Ethan; Reinhart, Carmen M.; Rogoff, Kenneth S. - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2021

This paper employs an updated algorithm and database for classifying exchange rate and anchor currency choice, to explore the evolution of the global exchange rate system, including parallel rates, capital controls and reserves. In line with a large recent literature, we find that the dollar has...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012660025

Serial Default and the "Paradox" of Rich to Poor Capital Flows

Reinhart, Carmen M. - 2004

Lucas (1990) argued that it was a paradox that more capital does not flow from rich countries to poor countries. He rejected the standard explanation of expropriation risk and argued that paucity of capital flows to poor countries must instead be rooted in externalities in human capital...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012468398

The Aftermath of Financial Crises

Reinhart, Carmen M. - 2009

This paper examines the depth and duration of the slump that invariably follows severe financial crises, which tend to be protracted affairs. We find that asset market collapses are deep and prolonged. On a peak-to-trough basis, real housing price declines average 35 percent stretched out over...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012463993

This Time is Different : A Panoramic View of Eight Centuries of Financial Crises

Reinhart, Carmen M. - 2008

This paper offers a "panoramic" analysis of the history of financial crises dating from England's fourteenth-century default to the current United States sub-prime financial crisis. Our study is based on a new dataset that spans all regions. It incorporates a number of important credit episodes...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012464765

Financial Globalization : A Reappraisal

Kose, M. Ayhan - 2006

The literature on the benefits and costs of financial globalization for developing countries has exploded in recent years, but along many disparate channels with a variety of apparently conflicting results. We attempt to provide a unified conceptual framework for organizing this vast and growing...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012466181

Recovery from Financial Crises : Evidence from 100 Episodes

Reinhart, Carmen M. - 2014

We examine the evolution of real per capita GDP around 100 systemic banking crises. Part of the costs of these crises owes to the protracted nature of recovery. On average, it takes about eight years to reach the pre-crisis level of income; the median is about 6 ½ years. Five to six years after...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012458841

Why Is the Euro Punching Below Its Weight?

Ilzetzki, Ethan - 2020

On the twentieth anniversary of its inception, the euro has yet to expand its role as an international currency. We …, the euro comprises a far smaller share than that of the US dollar. Furthermore, that share has been roughly constant since … 1999. By some measures, the euro plays no larger a role than the Deutschemark and French franc that it replaced. We explore …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012479284