Morales-Arias, Leonardo; Moura, Guilherme V. - In: International Journal of Forecasting 29 (2013) 3, pp. 493-509
This article investigates the statistical and economic implications of adaptive forecasting of exchange rates with panel data. The candidate exchange rate predictors are drawn from (i) macroeconomic ‘fundamentals’, (ii) returns/volatility of asset markets, and (iii) cyclical and confidence...