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Non-Linear Dynamics and Predictable Forecast Errors: An Application to the OECD Forecasts for Germany
Antzoulatos, Angelos A.; Wilfling, Bernd - HWWA Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung - 2003
Recent theoretical advances in consumption theory suggest that there may exist predictable consumption surges which, if … identify economic variables that might help improve the OECD?s forecasts for Germany?s consumption and GDP growth. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010957443
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Welfare effects of demographic changes in a Ramsey growth model
Stiller, Silvia - HWWA Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung - 2000
consumption development and thus average welfare of individual cohorts. The analysis is based on a Ramsey growth model and refers …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010985059
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Demographic change and consumption : a long-term simulation analysis
Stiller, Silvia - HWWA Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung - 2000
model is applied. Special focus is put on the consumption effects of population ageing and the potential to counter those by … capita consumption is among all demographic scenarios lower than without demographic changes. Permanent immigration can … retard the consumption decrease. Rising fertility even reinforces the decline of consumption in the examined period of time. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010985064
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Concentration and Specialisation Trends in Germany since Reunification
Suedekum, Jens - HWWA Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung - 2004
In this paper we describe the development of regional specialisation and geographical concentration in Germany between 1993 and 2001. Somewhat contrary to theoretical expectations derived from the recent literature in location theory, we neither find compelling evidence for a specialisation...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010957315
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The Drive to Economic Integration in Africa
Shams, Rasul - HWWA Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung - 2005
In Africa there has been an immense effort in the past, continuing into the present, to unite politically and to build numerous economic integration areas. In this paper we discuss the reasons for the existence of this phenomenon in Africa which we call the drive to political and economic...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010957318
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Trade Imbalances and the Political Economy of a Transitional Fund in the EAC
Shams, Rasul - HWWA Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung - 2003
The EAC is on the verge of establishing a customs union. But this is accompanied by fears that the Customs Union would lead to trade imbalances among the Partner States, which would create serious problems for the proper functioning of the Customs Union itself. To mitigate these problems the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010957330
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Export Structure, FDI and Child Labour
Busse, Matthias; Braun, Sebastian - HWWA Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung - 2003
The paper addresses the linkage between certain aspects of the increasing economic integration of world markets and the level of child labour. We empirically examine, first, the often-cited conventional wisdom that multinational enterprises invest in countries where the extent of child labour is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010957429
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Eastern Enlargement of the EU : A Comprehensive Welfare Assessment
Kohler, Wilhelm K. - HWWA Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung - 2004
This paper takes a welfare-view on eastern enlargement of the EU, focusing on incumbent countries. Enlargement is decomposed into three elements: Single-market integration on commodity markets, budgetary costs from EU-expenditure policies, and singlemarket- induced migration from new to present...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010985098
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Non-Linear Dynamics and Predictable Forecast Errors: An Application to the OECD Forecasts for Germany
Antzoulatos, Angelos A.; Wilfling, Bernd - HWWA Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung - 2003
Recent theoretical advances in consumption theory suggest that there may exist predictable consumption surges which, if … identify economic variables that might help improve the OECD's forecasts for Germany's consumption and GDP growth. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005801327
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Demographic Change and Consumption -- A Long-term Simulation Analysis
Stiller, Silvia - HWWA Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung - 2000
model is applied. Special focus is put on the consumption effects of population ageing and the potential to counter those by … capita consumption is among all demographic scenarios lower than without demographic changes. Permanent immigration can … retard the consumption decrease. Rising fertility even reinforces the decline of consumption in the examined period of time …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10004989378