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This paper introduces a Divisia monetary aggregate for Germany and explores its information content for the Great Recession. Divisia money and the corresponding simple sum aggregate are highly correlated in normal times but begin to diverge before the crisis. Out of sample forecast analysis and...
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This paper presents evidence of money non-redundancy in shaping Euro Area business cycle. The dynamic effects of liquidity are evaluated by means of an agnostic approach. Results show that shocks to monetary aggregates permanently raise prices, even if to a different degree depending on the time...
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