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with nonparametric estimation of the pricing kernel (Empirical Pricing Kernel) given by the ratio of the risk … estimated nonparametrically too. In this framework, we develop the asymptotic distribution theory of the EPK in the L1 sense …, as an alternative to the asymptotic approach, we propose a bootstrap confidence band. The developed theory is helpful for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003952791
In diesem Aufsatz wird die nichtparametrische Autoregression auf die Prognose von Quantilen angewendet. Verfahren der Kernregression werden benutzt, um zu autoregressiven Quantiisschätzern zu gelangen. Da die üblichen Maße zur Beurteilung der Prognose, wie etwa der mittlere quadratische...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009681115
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001426216
problem of online estimation of current values of w = w(T) and a = a(T) from the observations SI , ... ,ST. We propose an … adaptive method of estimation which does not use any information about time homogeneity of the obscured process. We apply this …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009582392
We provide a framework for evaluating and improving multivariate density forecasts. Among other things, the multivariate framework lets us evaluate the adequacy of density forecasts involving cross-variable interactions, such as time-varying conditional correlations. We also provide conditions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013239958
We provide a framework for evaluating and improving multivariate density forecasts. Among other things, the multivariate framework lets us evaluate the adequacy of density forecasts involving cross-variable interactions, such as time-varying conditional correlations. We also provide conditions...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012471967
We introduce a new hybrid approach to joint estimation of Value at Risk (VaR) and Expected Shortfall (ES) for high … lower cost in capital reserves. In ES estimation the hybrid model yields the smallest error statistics surpassing even the … ; extreme value theory ; bootstrapping …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003891679
Recently, a body of academic literature has focused on the area of stable distributions and their application potential for improving our understanding of the risk of hedge funds. At the same time, research has sprung up that applies standard Bayesian methods to hedge fund evaluation. Little or...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008653564
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002808714
are analysed and insights from the theory of industrial organisation are given. Governments intervene in the market for …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002734112